It will be a meeting between two phenomenal offenses when the Houston Rockets (14-7), 9.5-point favorites, square off against the Phoenix Suns (10-11) at Toyota Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 239.5 points and it can be seen on ATTSN Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 7, 2019.
Phoenix Suns vs. Houston Rockets ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Rockets (2-point underdogs) defeated the Toronto Raptors 119-109, while the Suns (4.5-point underdog) beat the New Orleans Pelicans 139-132. The Houston game finished 3 points under the projected point total of 231, while the Phoenix game went 36 points over the projected point total of 235.
The Suns had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 35.8 (above their season average of 19.1), while the Pelicans had a turnover percentage of 18.3 (above their season average of 13.2). The Rockets, on the other hand, had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 37.7 (above their season average of 24.0) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.520 vs. 0.500). Russell Westbrook put together a tremendous game for Houston, racking up 19 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists on his way to his fourth triple-double of the season. Meanwhile, Devin Booker was a key piece for Phoenix with 44 points, nine assists and eight rebounds.
The Rockets dominated this series last year, taking all three games. In the most recent contest, Houston won 149-113. The Rockets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Suns. Houston had a rate of 26.1, while Phoenix posted a mark of 16.7. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Games involving the Suns tend to finish over the O/U total (61.9 percent). Phoenix comes into the contest with records of 10-11 straight up (SU) and 12-9 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Phoenix, Rockets games tend to finish under the total (57.1 percent). Additionally, Houston is 14-7 SU and 12-9 ATS.
This meeting figures to be a shootout as a pair of the NBA’s best offenses battle. Houston ranks third with 111.7 points per 100 possessions and Phoenix is fifth (110.2).
Phoenix Suns at Houston Rockets Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Suns average 48.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Rockets rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
- Phoenix averages 28.2 assists per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Houston ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
- The Suns average 20.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the league. The Rockets rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
- Phoenix ranks ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while Houston ranks 27th (16.8).
- Phoenix ranks ninth in three pointers allowed per game (32.1) while Houston ranks 25th (36.7).
- The Rockets rank second in second chance points per game (15.6) while the Suns rank 27th (11.5).
- The Suns rank 10th in steals per game (8.1) while the Rockets rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
- Houston ranks 21st in blocks per game (4.7) while Phoenix ranks 27th (4.0).
- Houston ranks third in rebounds per game (48.2) while Phoenix ranks 27th (42.0).
- When allowing below 100 points, Phoenix is 2-2 and Houston is 2-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Rockets are 14-6 and the Suns are 10-9.
- Houston is 6-4 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 6-3 ATS on the road.
- The Suns have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 road games.
- In 10 home games, the Rockets have 6 overs and 4 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Houston has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Phoenix has 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, up from 5.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 121.4 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 124.8 points per game (10.7 above their season average).