Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction 12/06/19

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A 10-game road winning streak is on the line for the Los Angeles Lakers (19-3), who will be 3.5-point favorites when they square off against the Portland Trail Blazers (9-13) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 6, 2019.

Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Trail Blazers (5.5-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings 127-116, while the Lakers (2-point underdog) beat the Utah Jazz 121-96. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Portland game went 26.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5, while the Los Angeles game went 5.5 points over the projected point total of 211.5.

Los Angeles dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 13.2) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.589 (above their season average of 0.541). For those same stats, Utah recorded marks of 16.5 and 0.494, respectively. Meanwhile, Portland’s 0.655 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Sacramento, who had a mark of 0.521. The Trail Blazers’ mark was above their season average of 0.516. Portland was led by Hassan Whiteside, who put up 22 points, 16 rebounds and seven assists. LeBron James, meanwhile led the way for Los Angeles, contributing 20 points and 12 assists.

This series was highly competitive last year. Each won two of the four games played against each other last season. The Trail Blazers won the last game 104-101. Converting at the free throw line was one of Portland’s biggest strengths. They were 19-22 (86.4 percent), while the Lakers were just 11-17 (64.7 percent). This will be the first game of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Lakers are involved, as 59.1 percent of their contests have gone under the total. Los Angeles holds records of 19-3 straight up (SU) and 13-9 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Los Angeles, games involving the Trail Blazers have a slight tendency to go over the projected point total (50.0 percent). Moreover, Portland is 9-13 SU and 10-11-1 ATS.

Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play a key role in this matchup. Portland commits the fourth-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while the gambling defense of Los Angeles forces the fourth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.5 percent).

Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 16th (5.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in second chance points per game (15.4). Portland ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.8).
  • The Lakers rank sixth in steals per game (8.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (5.9).
  • Los Angeles ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Portland ranks 29th (13.6).
  • Los Angeles averages 17.7 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the league. Portland ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
  • The Lakers rank fourth in points in the paint per game (53.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (43.5).
  • The Lakers rank sixth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (48.3).
  • Portland ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (33.4) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (29.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks fifth in assists per game (26.5) while Portland ranks 29th (20.3).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Los Angeles is 8-0 and Portland is 2-0.
  • The Lakers are 16-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 9-11.
  • Portland is 3-5 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 6-5 ATS on the road.
  • The Lakers have 6 unders and 5 overs in 11 road games.
  • The Trail Blazers have 5 overs and 3 unders in 8 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and Portland are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Lakers have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 113.0 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.8 points per game (0.5 above their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers have outscored opponents by an average of 7.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has been defeated by an average of 1.4 points.