Golden State Warriors at Chicago Bulls ATS Prediction 12/06/19

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The Golden State Warriors (4-19) head to United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls (8-14). The Warriors are 5-point underdogs and will try to snap a six-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 212.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, December 6, 2019.

Golden State Warriors at Chicago Bulls ATS Odds

In the Bulls’ last outing, they beat the Memphis Grizzlies, 106-99, covering as 6.5-point favorites. The Warriors, meanwhile, were beat by the Charlotte Hornets, 106-91, and failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Chicago game went 18 points under the projected point total of 223, while the Golden State game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 213.

Chicago dominated nearly every facet of the contest. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.351 (above their season average of 0.195) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.513 (above their season average of 0.493). Memphis was 0.188 and 0.422, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.128 vs. 0.057). Wendell Carter Jr. had a good outing for Chicago, contributing 16 points and 13 rebounds. Alec Burks was a key piece for Golden State with 15 points.

In their first matchup this year, Burks led the Warriors to a 104-90 win. He notched a double-double with 23 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined for 194 points, which was well under the projected point total of 215, and Golden State covered as a 2.5-point underdog. Getting to the free throw line was one of Golden State’s biggest strengths. They made 26 trips to the line, while Chicago went 18 times.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 12 unders compared to 11 overs. Golden State comes into the game with records of 4-19 straight up (SU) and 10-13 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Golden State, games including the Bulls have gone under the total 54.5 percent of the time. Moreover, Chicago is 8-14 SU and 10-12 ATS.

The Warriors’ Burks has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 15 points,3.4 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Zach LaVine has averaged 32 points,3.6 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Bulls.

This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Golden State. Golden State ranks 11th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.7 percent), while the disruptive defense of Chicago forces the most turnovers in the NBA (17.0 percent).

Golden State Warriors at Chicago Bulls ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Bulls, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bulls rank 19th in assists allowed per game (24.6) while the Warriors rank 25th (25.9).
  • Chicago averages 22.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
  • The Bulls average 14.4 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Warriors rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
  • Golden State ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (46.0) while Chicago ranks 27th (48.6).
  • Chicago ranks ninth in fast break points per game (14.5) while Golden State ranks 16th in fast break points allowed per game (13.4).
  • The Bulls rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (35.3) while the Warriors rank 27th (28.4).
  • The Bulls rank 17th in points in the paint per game (46.6) while the Warriors rank 25th (44.3).
  • Golden State ranks 22nd in blocks per game (4.6) while Chicago ranks 26th (4.1).
  • Chicago ranks first in steals per game (9.5) while Golden State ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Golden State is 2-1 and Chicago is 3-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 4-11 and the Bulls are 8-8.
  • Golden State is 6-8 ATS on the road, while Chicago is 5-6 ATS at home.
  • The Warriors have 7 overs and 7 unders in 14 road games.
  • Of the Bulls’ 11 home games, they have 6 unders and 5 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Chicago have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Bulls are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 3.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 95.0 points per game (9.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (10.3 below their season average).