A nine-game home winning streak is on the line for the Philadelphia 76ers (14-6), who will be 5-point favorites when they take on the Utah Jazz (12-8) at Wells Fargo Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019.
Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The 76ers (6.5-point favorites) beat the Indiana Pacers, 119-116, while the Jazz (7-point favorites) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 130-110. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Philadelphia game went 28.5 points over the projected point total of 206.5, while the Utah game finished 16.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5.
Philadelphia played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 14.3) and a free throw rate of 0.416 (above their season average of 0.190). Indiana was 17.9 and 0.276, respectively, for those same stats. Utah, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.4 (above their season average of 18.8). Philadelphia received a boost from Joel Embiid, who recorded 32 points and 11 rebounds. Rudy Gobert had a solid performance for Utah, finishing with 12 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Gobert led the Jazz to a 106-104 win. He notched a double-double with 14 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 210 points, which was just over the projected point total of 209, and Utah was unable to cover as a 3-point favorite. Utah’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Jazz had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. 7), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 35) and total rebounds (50 vs. 42).
Jazz games tend to finish under the O/U total (63.2 percent). Utah has a solid 12-8 straight up (SU) record, but they have trouble covering the spread (8-11 against the spread (ATS)).
There does not appear to be a trend for games including the 76ers in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Philadelphia is 14-6 SU, but they are just 9-10-1 ATS.
It could be a tough game for Utah on the offensive glass. The Jazz are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 28th in offensive rebounding percentage at 19.4 percent. Meanwhile, Philadelphia ranks first in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 83.2 percent.
Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers Free Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (39.3) while the Jazz rank seventh (44.2).
- Philadelphia ranks fourth in steals per game (8.8) while Utah ranks 27th (6.2).
- The 76ers rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Jazz rank 20th (5.4).
- Philadelphia ranks 15th in fast break points per game (13.1) while Utah ranks 26th (10.9).
- Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (26.3) while Utah ranks ninth (32.3).
- The 76ers rank fifth in assists per game (26.2) while the Jazz rank 26th (20.9).
- The 76ers rank 15th in points in the paint per game (47.5) while the Jazz rank 25th (44.0).
- Philadelphia ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Utah ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
- Philadelphia ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.0) while Utah ranks 21st (13.7).
- Utah is 6-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Philadelphia is 7-0.
- The 76ers are 12-3 when they score more than 100 points, while the Jazz are 11-6.
- Philadelphia is 4-5 ATS at home, while Utah is 4-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 7 of the Jazz’s 10 road games, while 5 of the 76ers’ 9 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Utah has 4 overs and 1 under, while Philadelphia has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 5.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 1.5 points.
- During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (3.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.8 points per game (6.4 below their season average).
