Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction 12/02/19

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The Memphis Grizzlies (6-13) welcome the Indiana Pacers (12-7) to FedExForum. The Grizzlies are 10-point underdogs and look to end a five-game home losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019.

Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Grizzlies (7-point favorites) defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves, 115-107, while the Pacers (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Philadelphia 76ers, 119-116. The Memphis game finished 1.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5, while the Indiana game went 28.5 points over the projected point total of 206.5.

Memphis played a nearly perfect game. They had a great turnover percentage of 9.1 (better than their season average of 13.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.490 (below their season average of 0.516). For those same stats, Minnesota had marks of 13.7 and 0.453, respectively. Indiana, meanwhile, made 11 of their 22 three pointers (50.0 percent). Bruno Caboclo played well for Memphis with 12 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Malcolm Brogdon had a good game for Indiana, putting up 28 points and six assists.

In their first matchup this year, Domantas Sabonis led the Pacers to a 126-114 win. He notched a double-double with 13 points and 13 rebounds. Indiana covered as a 10-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 240 points, which was well over the projected point total of 216.5. The Pacers’ 23.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Grizzlies, who had a rate of 17.8.

A little over half of the Pacers’ games have finished under the total. Indiana heads into the game with records of 12-7 straight up (SU) and 9-8-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 55.6 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total. Further, Memphis is 6-13 SU and 7-11 ATS.

Memphis might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the league’s best defenses. Indiana ranks sixth in defensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 24th in offensive efficiency.

Pacers vs. Grizzlies Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while the Grizzlies rank 16th (45.9).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Memphis ranks 29th (14.9).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.7) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (35.5).
  • Indiana ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.4) while Memphis ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
  • Indiana ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (49.9) while Memphis ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).
  • The Pacers average 18.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Grizzlies rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.8).
  • The Pacers rank fifth in assists allowed per game (22.3) while the Grizzlies rank 22nd (25.0).
  • Indiana averages 7.1 steals per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Memphis ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Memphis ranks 26th (15.8).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Indiana is 4-1.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Grizzlies are 6-9 and the Pacers are 12-4.
  • Indiana is 4-4 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 5-7 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Pacers’ 8 road games, while 7 of the Grizzlies’ 12 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pacers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (4.4 above their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 7.8 for the season.