The Oakland Raiders (+10) are heading east to face their AFC West nemesis Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. CBS will broadcast the action and this vital late afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders
Oakland is getting picked as the underdog and is currently getting 10 points in this AFC game. The Raiders are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Chiefs are -475. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points. Multiple solid live betting possibilities should present themselves during the game.
The early action has moved in the direction of both the Chiefs and the under. The line initially opened at -9 and the over/under was originally 54.5.
The Raiders have gained 2.9 units this season and are 6-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-5.
The Chiefs have lost 1.8 units in 2019. The team is 6-5 ATS and owns an O/U record of 7-4.
The Raiders have gone 6-5 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against AFC West opponents. The Chiefs are 7-4 SU overall and 3-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Raiders dropped one to the Jets 34-3 in a Week 12 blowout where their secondary allowed the Jets to air it out for 315 yards and two touchdowns. Le’Veon Bell had a productive day for the Jets in that one with 49 rushing yards on 12 attempts, along with 59 yards on five catches. Offensively, the Raiders completed 19-of-34 passes for 147 yards and one interception. Derek Carr went 15-for-27 for 127 yards and one interception while Mike Glennon completed four-of-seven for 20 yards. Josh Jacobs (only 34 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the ground attack in the loss while Jalen Richard (six receptions, 47 yards) and Darren Waller (three catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Kansas City just earned a 24-17 win over the Chargers. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Chargers to air it out for 353 yards. Austin Ekeler was a bright spot in the loss for Los Angeles, recording 108 yards on eight catches. For Kansas City, Patrick Mahomes completed 19-of-32 passes for 182 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Darrel Williams (35 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win as Travis Kelce (seven receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and McCoy (four catches, 28 yards) led the receiving corps.
Oakland’s run the ball on 46.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas City has a rush percentage of 36.6 percent. The Raiders have produced 122.7 rush yards per game (including 101.7 per game versus West opponents) and have 10 scores via handoffs this year. The Chiefs are averaging 94.4 rushing yards per game (80.3 in conference) and have nine total rush TDs.
Based on the numbers so far, the Raiders ought to hold an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.4 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.1 to opponents. The Chiefs have rushed for 4.3 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.1 to opponents.
The Raiders offensive scheme has tallied 243.4 yards/contest in the air overall (225 per game against conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Chiefs have produced 315.2 pass yards per outing (273 in the AFC) and have 23 total pass scores.
Defensively, Oakland has allowed 104.3 rush yards and 284.7 pass yards per game. The Kansas City defense has allowed 255.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 143.1 yards per game on the ground. The Chiefs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.74 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a 7.74 ANY/A.
Offensively, Carr is up to 2,329 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 214-of-308 attempts with 14 scores through the air and five interceptions. He’s got a 7.17 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.38 over the last two outings.
Look for a balanced approach offensively from Oakland in this one. Josh Jacobs (845 rushing yards, seven rush TDs on the year), Darren Waller (629 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Tyrell Williams (398 receiving yards, five TDs) have each played key roles lately.
Patrick Mahomes has completed 176-of-273 passes for 2,362 yards, 16 TDs and two INTs for Kansas City. His ANY/A sits at 8.94 for the year and 7.62 over his past two outings.
We also expect the Kansas City offense to spread things out this Sunday. Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and Damien Williams have combined for 449 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the last couple of outings.
Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free Prediction
SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Chiefs, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Raiders offense has registered four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Chiefs have put up 14 such plays.
- The Oakland defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kansas City has given up six such plays.
- Both teams have produced nine rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Oakland offense has recorded 28 running plays of 10+ yards while Kansas City has accounted for 22 such plays.
- The Raiders defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Chiefs have given up six such runs.
- The Kansas City defense has sacked opposing QBs 32 times this season. Oakland has registered just 26 sacks.
- Oakland has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.2 over its last two.
- Kansas City has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its past two.
- In its last three games, Kansas City is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Oakland’s previous game was 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-3 loss to the Jets.
- In its last three contests, Oakland is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Kansas City’s previous matchup going into it was 51.5. The under cashed in the 24-17 victory over the Chargers.
