The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1) are set to face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field. Kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
In this Sunday game, Jacksonville is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Buccaneers are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are -115. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 49 points, and if one team can create a bunch of points early, it would likely create a nice live betting opportunity.
The game’s opening line was -5. The over/under has yet to change after it was set initially at 49.
The Buccaneers are 3-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.7 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 9-2.
The Jaguars are down 3.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-6 ATS and six of their games have gone over the total.
The Buccaneers are 4-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Jaguars are also 4-7 SU.
The Bucs are coming off a resounding 35-22 victory over Atlanta last week where their secondary allowed the Falcons to air it out for 326 yards. Calvin Ridley had a productive day for the Falcons in that one with 85 yards and a score on six catches. Offensively, Jameis Winston completed 18 passes for 313 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Ronald Jones II (51 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and Peyton Barber (32 yards on 11 carries) mounted the ground attack in the win while Chris Godwin (seven receptions, 184 yards, two TDs) and Mike Evans (four catches, 50 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Jacksonville most-recently lost convincingly 42-20 to Tennessee in Week 12. The team’s defensive unit let the Titans eat up the clock by running for 219 yards on 33 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Derrick Henry was outstandingfor the Titans, recording 159 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts. For Jacksonville, Nick Foles completed 32-of-48 passes for 272 yards. Leonard Fournette (97 rushing yards on 24 attempts, two TDs) led the ground game in the defeat while Fournette (nine receptions, 62 yards) and Dede Westbrook (eight catches, 69 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Looking at offensive play-calling, each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Tampa Bay has run the ball on 39.1 percent of its offensive possessions while Jacksonville has an overall rush percentage of 40.5. The Buccaneers have run for 98.3 yards/game and have 11 scores via handoffs this year. The Jags are totaling 119.3 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Jags ought to have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has allowed only 27 sacks while the D-line has registered 34 sacks. The Buccaneers offensive line has allowed 36 sacks and their defense has recorded only 28 sacks.
The Bucs offense has averaged 308.3 yards in the air overall and has 22 passing scores so far. The Jags have produced 266.2 pass yards per game and have 16 total pass TDs.
Tampa Bay has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 78.7 yards and throw for 309 yards per game. The Jacksonville defense has given up 242.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 142.3 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.25 to opposing QBs, while the Buccaneers have given up a 6.94 ANY/A.
Offensively, Winston has already put up 3,078 passing yards this season, and has completed 60 percent of his 383 attempts with 20 passing scores and 16 interceptions. He has a 6.12 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.44 over the last two outings.
Chris Godwin (1,024 receiving yards, eight receiving touchdowns this season), Mike Evans (974 receiving yards, seven receiving TDs) and Ronald Jones II (461 rush yards, five rush TDs) have each played key roles lately.
Nick Foles has completed 37-of-56 passes for 347 yards, one TD and zero INTs for Jacksonville. His ANY/A stands at 5.88 for the season and 5.26 over his last two outings.
Leonard Fournette, DJ Chark Jr. and Chris Conley have collectively accounted for 465 total yards and four touchdowns as a trio the last two games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Pick
SU Winner: Buccaneers, ATS Winner: Buccaneers, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Jacksonville offense has lost nine fumbles this season while Tampa Bay has let seven get away.
- The Jacksonville defense has registered 34 sacks on the year while Tampa Bay has just 28.
- Tampa Bay has produced 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.0 over its last two.
- Jacksonville has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.1 over its last two.
