Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers Betting Prediction 12/01/19

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The Dallas Mavericks (12-6) and their great offense travel to Los Angeles to take on the Lakers (17-2) and their superb defense. The game begins at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 1, 2019.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Lakers (6.5-point underdogs) defeated the Washington Wizards 125-103, while the Mavericks (2-point favorite) beat the Phoenix Suns 120-113. The Los Angeles game went 3 points under the projected point total of 231, while the Dallas game finished 7.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.

Dallas played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.388 (above their season average of 0.219) and a turnover percentage of 7.3 (better than their season average of 11.2). Phoenix recorded marks of 0.194 and 8.8, respectively, for those same stats. The Lakers, meanwhile, made 21 of their 28 free throws (75.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.598 (above their season average of 0.542). Los Angeles’ Anthony Davis led the way, finishing with 26 points and 13 rebounds. Luka Doncic, meanwhile fueled Dallas with 42 points, 11 assists and nine rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, LeBron James led the Lakers to a 119-110 win. He notched a triple-double with 39 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 229 points, which was over the projected point total of 217, and Los Angeles covered as a 1-point underdog. The Lakers’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Mavericks. Los Angeles had a rate of 9.5, while Dallas posted a mark of 16.4.

This battle figures to be a high-scoring affair as two of the NBA’s premier offenses clash. Los Angeles currently ranks fifth with 109.6 points per 100 possessions and Dallas is first (114.4). Additionally, the Mavericks rank first in turnover percentage (12.2 percent), while the Lakers rank third in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.8 percent).

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.6) while the Lakers rank 19th (44.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks first in blocks per game (7.5) while Dallas ranks 21st (4.6).
  • The Lakers rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while the Mavericks rank 24th (14.4).
  • Los Angeles averages 15.8 second chance points per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Dallas ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
  • Los Angeles averages 53.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Dallas ranks 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.0).
  • The Mavericks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (39.9) while the Lakers rank 23rd (30.2).
  • The Lakers rank fourth in fast break points per game (16.2) while the Mavericks rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks fourth in assists per game (26.6) while Dallas ranks 14th (24.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks sixth in steals per game (8.5) while Dallas ranks 25th (6.5).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Los Angeles is 6-0 and Dallas is 1-0.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Lakers are 14-2 and the Mavericks are 12-5.
  • Dallas is 5-2 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of the Mavericks’ 7 road games, while 5 of the Lakers’ 9 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 4 overs and 1 under, while Los Angeles has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 19.2, up from 7.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 118.4 points per game (5.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (6.9 above their season average).