The Unlv Rebels and Nevada Wolf Pack will go head-to-head on the turf at Clarence Mackay Stadium. This MWC game kicks off at 3:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ATSN. When the two squads met last year, UNLV earned the win 34-29.
Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels at Nevada Wolf Pack
The Rebels enter into this Saturday MWC matchup as the underdog and they’re currently getting 7 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to wager $300 to win $100 back on the Wolf Pack (-300). The Rebels are getting +220 moneyline odds. If one team can create a bunch of points early it will produce a nice betting scenario in-game. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points.
The opening line was -8. The game’s total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 53.5.
Each of these teams has been profitable this year as the Rebels have gained 1.4 units and the Wolf Pack are ahead 16.7 units.
The Rebels have gone 3-8 straight up (SU), including 1-6 SU against conference opponents. The Wolf Pack are 7-4 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play.
The Rebels are coming off a 38-35 victory over San Jose State last week in which Kenyon Oblad completed 21 passes for 203 yards, two scores and one interception. Charles Williams (186 rushing yards on 27 attempts, three TDs) led the ground attack while Randal Grimes (six receptions, 130 yards, one TD) and Mekhi Stevenson (six catches, 44 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Nevada just earned a 35-28 win over Fresno State. The defensive secondary let the Bulldogs air it out for 278 yards and four touchdowns. Ronnie Rivers had a good showing in the loss, recording 88 yards and a score on seven catches for Fresno State. For Nevada, Carson Strong completed 20-of-31 passes for 154 yards and three touchdowns. Toa Taua (135 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) led the running game as Romeo Doubs (six receptions, 33 yards, two TDs) and Elijah Cooks (five catches, 60 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
UNLV has run the ball on 52.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Nevada has an overall rush percentage of 49.6 percent. The Rebels have produced 166.8 rush yards/game (including 128.6 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wolf Pack are logging 124.2 rush yards per game (118.3 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.
The Rebels offense has tallied 204.1 yards per contest through the air overall (234 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Wolf Pack have put up 226.7 pass yards per outing (226 in the MWC) and have 12 total pass scores.
Defensively, UNLV has allowed 193.3 rush yards and 247.5 pass yards per game. The Nevada D has allowed 262.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 134.9 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Rebels have given up an ANY/A of 6.94 to opposing QBs, while the Wolf Pack are yielding an ANY/A of 7.22.
Offensively, Oblad is up to 1,734 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 53 percent of his 264 attempts with 14 passing scores and seven interceptions. He has a 5.77 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.05 over the past two games.
Carson Strong has connected on 154-of-245 passes for 1,435 yards, eight TDs and six INTs for Nevada. His ANY/A stands at 4.73 for the year and 5.16 over his last two outings.
UNLV Rebels at Nevada Wolf Pack NCAA Pick
SU Winner: Nevada, ATS Winner: Nevada, O/U: Under
Betting Trends
- The Nevada defense has tallied twice as many sacks as UNLV this season (20 versus 10).
- Nevada has lost nine fumbles in 2019 while UNLV has lost six.
- The Rebels offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Wolf Pack have put up five such plays.
- The UNLV defense has allowed 13 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Nevada has given up eight such plays.
- The UNLV offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Nevada has created 10 such runs.
- The Rebels defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wolf Pack have given up 11 such runs.
- The Over/Under for Nevada’s last outing was 51.5. The over cashed in the 35-28 triumph over Fresno State.
- In its last three matches, Nevada is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three matchups, UNLV is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for UNLV’s previous game was set at 65.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-35 win over San Jose State.
- As a team, UNLV has averaged 5.0 yards per carry across its last three games and 5.7 over its last two.
- Nevada has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.6 over its last two.
