The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (-8) are set to take on their ACC foe Duke Blue Devils at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. This daytime matchup is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN2 has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes
In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Miami (FL) is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 8 points. The Hurricanes are also receiving -340 moneyline odds while the Blue Devils are +260. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points, and some solid in-game betting possibilities may be unveiled during this contest.
Square bettors have been hammering the Hurricanes, as the opening line was 7. The O/U has yet to move after it was set initially at 47.5.
The disappointing Hurricanes are 6-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 20.6 units this season. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 6-5.
The Blue Devils have lost 6.0 units so far. The team is 3-6-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 8-3.
The Hurricanes have gone 6-5 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Blue Devils are 4-7 SU overall and are also 2-5 SU in conference play.
The Hurricanes are trying to get back in stride after a 30-24 defeat to FIU last week. The passing game the primary culprit Jarren Williams completed only 19 passes on 36 attempts for 249 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Cam’Ron Harris (86 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and DeeJay Dallas (50 yards on nine carries) led the running attack in the loss while Will Mallory (four receptions, 71 yards) and K.J. Osborn (three catches, 25 yards) shared the receiving duties.
Duke most recently fell 39-27 to Wake Forest. The team’s defense allowed the Demon Deacons to run for 334 yards on 66 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Kendall Hinton was on a different level for Wake Forest, putting up 189 yards and a score on six catches. For Duke, Quentin Harris completed 14-of-23 passes for 163 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Harris (39 yards on 14 rush attempts) and Mataeo Durant (71 yards on seven carries) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Noah Gray (seven receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and Aaron Young (two catches, five yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Miami (FL) has run the ball on 47.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Duke has a rush percentage of 55.9 percent. The Hurricanes have produced 123.9 rush yards per game (including 114.9 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 15 scores via handoffs this year. The Blue Devils are totaling 152.1 rushing yards per game (147.9 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it seems like the Hurricanes should own an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their backfield has logged 4.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.1 YPC to opponents. The Blue Devils have tallied 3.7 yards per carry and given up 4.5 YPC to opponents.
The Hurricanes offensive scheme has logged 265.9 yards/game in the air overall (268.4 per game against conference opposition) and has 26 passing TDs so far. The Blue Devils have put up 181.5 pass yards per game (171 against ACC foes) and have 17 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (FL) has allowed 107.7 rush yards and 201 pass yards per game. The Duke defense has allowed 202.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 188.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.08 to opponents, while the Blue Devils have given up a 6 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Williams is up to 1,698 yards on the year. The signal-caller has connected on 64 percent of his 208 attempts with 12 passing scores and six interceptions. He has a 6.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.21 over the last two games.
Quentin Harris has completed 180-of-297 passes for 1,765 yards, 15 TDs and nine INTs for Duke. His ANY/A sits at an ultra-pedestrian 4.95 for the season and 2.46 over his past two outings.
These two teams met last year with the final result being a 20-12 victory for Duke.
Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils Free Pick
SU Winner: Duke, ATS Winner: Duke, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Miami (FL)’s last game was set at 52.5. The over cashed in the team’s 30-24 defeat to FIU.
- As a team, Miami (FL) has produced 4.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.7 over its last two.
- Duke has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.3 over its last two.
- The Duke offense has lost 13 fumbles this season while Miami (FL) has lost five.
- Over its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Duke’s previous match was set at 50. The over cashed in that 39-27 defeat to Wake Forest.
- In its last three contests, Duke is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Duke has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with an 18-point win over Georgia Tech on October 12th accounting for the one victory over that stretch.
- The Hurricanes offense has created eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Blue Devils have accounted for three such plays.
- The Miami (FL) defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Duke has given up seven such plays.
- The Miami (FL) offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Duke has created nine such runs.
- The Hurricanes defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Blue Devils have given up 25 such runs.
- The Miami (FL) defense has sacked opposing QBs 37 times this season. Duke has produced just 26 sacks.
