The Texas Tech Red Raiders (+9) aren’t traveling far to face their in-conference counterpart Texas Longhorns at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and FOX will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns
Texas Tech is a significant road underdog in this Big 12 game and is currently getting 9 points. The Red Raiders are also receiving +280 moneyline odds while the Longhorns are -360. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 69 points, and if one team can get out in front early, it would likely produce a solid in-game betting opportunity.
The Red Raiders are down 4.5 units so far and 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 7-4.
The Longhorns are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-6 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-5.
The Red Raiders have gone 4-7 straight up (SU), including 2-6 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Longhorns are 6-5 SU overall and are also 4-4 SU in conference play.
Both teams enter this contest on two-game losing streaks. The Red Raiders are most-recently on the rebound after a thin 30-27 defeat to Kansas State last week where Jett Duffey completed 28 passes for 334 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. SaRodorick Thompson (84 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Duffey (57 yards on nine carries) mounted the ground attack. RJ Turner (seven receptions, 141 yards, one TD) and Thompson (seven catches, 28 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
A week ago, Baylor got the victory against this Texas team by a score of 24-10. Sam Ehlinger completed 22-of-37 passes for 200 yards and one interception. Ehlinger (79 yards on 19 rush attempts) and Keaontay Ingram (86 yards on seven carries) handled the running game while Devin Duvernay (10 receptions, 78 yards) and Roschon Johnson (three catches, 16 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Texas Tech has run the ball on 44.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas has an overall rush percentage of 48.3 percent. The Red Raiders have produced 156.7 rush yards/game (including 152.8 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 19 scores on the ground this year. The Longhorns are putting up 163.8 rushing yards per game (169.6 in conference) and have 19 total rush TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it appears the Red Raiders should hold an edge in the trenches, since their offensive line has allowed only 25 sacks while their D-line logged 28 sacks. The Longhorns, on the other hand, have allowed 27 sacks and their defense has forced only 32 sacks.
The Red Raiders offense has logged 317.9 yards/game in the air overall (309.1 per game against conference opposition) and has 22 passing TDs so far. The Longhorns have produced 291.5 pass yards per game (270 in the Big 12) and have 27 total pass scores.
Defensively, Texas Tech has allowed 164.4 rush yards and 304.2 pass yards per game. The Texas defense has allowed 298 yards per game to opposing passers and 146.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Red Raiders have given up an ANY/A of 7.40 to opposing QBs, while the Longhorns are yielding an ANY/A of 7.53.
Offensively, Duffey is up to 2,108 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 184-of-276 attempts with 12 passing scores and four interceptions. Duffey’s got a 7.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.45 over the last two games.
On the other sideline, Sam Ehlinger has managed to complete 243-of-369 passes for 2,841 yards, 24 TDs and nine INTs. Ehlinger’s ANY/A stands at 6.90 for the season and 5.48 over his past two outings.
When these two teams met last year, Texas won by a touchdown 41-34.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns Free Pick
SU Winner: Texas, ATS Winner: Texas, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Texas Tech D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 23 times this year. Texas has produced 18 sacks.
- The Texas offense has lost four fumbles this season while Texas Tech has lost five.
- The Red Raiders offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Longhorns have accounted for eight such plays.
- The Texas Tech defense has allowed 22 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Texas has given up 13 such plays.
- The Texas Tech offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Texas has created 11 such runs.
- The Red Raiders defense has allowed 21 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Longhorns have given up 12 such runs.
- The O/U for Texas’ previous outing was set at 58. The under cashed in the 24-10 defeat to Baylor.
- In its last three matchups, Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three contests, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 21-point win over West Virginia on November 9th representing the only victory over that span.
- Texas has lost four of its last five games SU, with a three-point win over Kansas State on November 9th accounting for the one victory over that span.
- The O/U for Texas Tech’s previous game was set at 55.5. The over cashed in the team’s 30-27 defeat to Kansas State.
- Texas Tech, as a team, has rushed for 3.7 yards per attempt across its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.
- Texas has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its past two.
