Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the Toronto Maple Leafs will do battle against Anthony Mantha, Tyler Bertuzzi, and the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena in an Original Six matchup. The match gets going at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, and it can be seen live on Fox Sports Detroit.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Odds
The Maple Leafs (-220) are favored over the Red Wings (+180) and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at an even 6 goals. The line for betting the total stands at -125 for the over and +105 for the under.
Toronto is 11-14 straight up (SU) and has lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 25 regular season contests, 14 of its games have gone over the total, while 10 have gone under and one has pushed. As the road team in 2019-20, the Leafs are 5-7 SU.
Toronto has converted on 18.4 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. Its penalty kill is ranked 26th overall, and it’s successfully killed off only 73.8 percent of its penalties..
Averaging 29.1 saves per game with a .916 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (11-8-3) has been the top option in goal for Toronto this year. If head coach Mike Babcock chooses to rest him, however, Toronto may go with Michael Hutchinson (0-6-1 record, .879 save percentage, 4.44 goals against average).
Over on the other bench, Detroit is 7-19 straight up (SU) and has lost 7.8 units for moneyline bettors thus far. Through 26 regular season contests, 12 of its games have gone over the total, while nine have gone under and five have pushed. This year, the team is 4-8 SU at home.
The Red Wings have converted on just 13.6 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that places them in the bottom 5 overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 29th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 73.5 percent of all penalties.
Jonathan Bernier (24.8 saves per game) has been the top selection in goal for the Red Wings. Bernier has five wins, 10 losses, and two OT losses and has registered a poor .890 save percentage and 3.30 goals against average this year.
Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings Betting Predictions
NHL Pick: SU Winner – Red Wings, O/U – Under
Betting Notes
- Four of Detroit’s last ten games have been decided by two or more goals. The team is 1-3 overall in those games.
- The Red Wings are 1-12 SU when they serve more penalty minutes than their opponent while the Maple Leafs are 4-6 SU in games where they spend more time in the box than their opponent.
- For both of these teams, the over has hit in three of their past five outings.
- Toronto is ranked 24th this season with 11.5 giveaways per game. That figure has trended down, however, as the team’s averaged 10.7 giveaways over its last 10 games and 7.4 giveaways over its last five.
- Detroit has averaged 17.4 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 12.5 giveaways per game (ranked 28th).
