The Washington Wizards (5-10), 8-point underdogs, will travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to challenge the Phoenix Suns (8-8). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 242.5 points and action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.
Washington Wizards vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last matchup. The Suns (11-point underdogs) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 116-104, while the Wizards (2-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 117-104. The Phoenix game finished 6 points over the projected point total of 214, while the Washington game finished 12.5 points under the projected point total of 233.5.
Washington forced Denver into a turnover percentage of 16.7 (above their season average of 11.3) while Phoenix had a better effective field goal percentage (0.573 vs. 0.549). Phoenix was led by Dario Saric, who recorded 18 points and 17 rebounds. Meanwhile, Jordan McRae played a key role for Washington with 21 points.
The Wizards dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the most recent game, Washington won 124-121. The Wizards’ 8.4 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Suns, who had a mark of 13.2. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Wizards are playing, as eight of their 14 games have finished over the projected point total. Although Washington has trouble winning games straight up (5-10 SU), they are 10-4 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Washington, Suns games also tend to go over the total (56.3 percent). Moreover, Phoenix owns records of 8-8 SU and 10-6 ATS.
The Wizards’ Davis Bertans has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 15 points,6.2 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 23 points,7.6 rebounds,2.4 steals during that same time frame for the Suns.
The high-powered offense of Phoenix (eighth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 108.6) will clash against the mid-tier defense of Washington (29th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 113.3). The Suns figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
Washington Wizards at Phoenix Suns Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Wizards rank 23rd in blocks per game (4.1) while the Suns rank 26th (3.8).
- Phoenix ranks second in assists per game (27.4) while Washington ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (26.2).
- The Suns rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.3) while the Wizards rank 13th (17.8).
- Phoenix ranks ninth in fast-break points per game (14.4) while Washington ranks 19th in fast-break points allowed per game (13.6).
- Phoenix ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.4) while Washington ranks 12th (33.1).
- The Wizards rank 11th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Suns rank 25th (10.4).
- The Suns rank 16th in steals per game (7.7) while the Wizards rank 25th (6.8).
- Phoenix ranks 25th in rebounds per game (42.4) while Washington ranks 26th (42.3).
- Washington ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (49.7) while Phoenix ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Phoenix is 2-2 and Washington is 2-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Suns are 8-6 and the Wizards are 4-10.
- Phoenix is 6-4 ATS at home, while Washington is 6-1 ATS on the road.
- The Wizards have 4 overs and 3 unders in 7 road games.
- In 10 home games, the Suns have 7 overs and 3 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Wizards are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Washington has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.0 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
- The Suns have been outscored by an average of 6.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has defeated opponents by an average of 2.9 points.
