The Akron Zips (+30) aren’t traveling far to face their in-conference foe Miami (OH) RedHawks at Fred C. Yager Stadium. ESPNU will broadcast the action and this Wednesday showdown is scheduled to get going at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Akron Zips vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) is heavily favored in this one and is currently giving up 30 points to Akron. If the Zips get ahead early on it would create a worthwhile betting scenario in-game. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points.
Early action has swayed toward the over. The game’s O/U was initially set at 44.
The hapless Zips are down 11.7 units so far in 2019 and 0-10 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 5-5.
The RedHawks have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.5 units. They’re 6-4 ATS and also own an even O/U record of 5-5.
The Zips are 0-10 straight up (SU), including 0-6 SU against MAC opponents. The RedHawks are 6-4 SU overall and 5-1 SU in conference play.
The Zips may already be looking ahead to the offseason following a 28-point defeat to Eastern Michigan last week. Kato Nelson completed 20 passes for 288 yards, two scores and one interception. Peter Hayes-Patrick (43 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the running attack. Julian Hicks (seven receptions, 41 yards, one TD) and Jeremiah Knight (six catches, 121 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Miami (OH) just earned a 44-3 win over Bowling Green. Brett Gabbert completed nine-of-15 passes for 225 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Jaylon Bester (85 rushing yards on nine attempts, two TDs) mounted the running game as Jack Sorenson (two receptions, 43 yards) and Nick Manson (two catches, 25 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Akron has run the ball on 44.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami (OH) has a rush percentage of 61.5 percent. The Zips have produced 53 rush yards/game (including 53.7 per game against Mid-American opponents) and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The RedHawks are averaging 130.9 rushing yards per game (154.3 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
The Zips offensive scheme has tallied 211.2 yards/game through the air overall (181.2 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing TDs so far. The RedHawks have recorded 176.6 pass yards per outing (203 against MAC competition) and have nine total pass scores.
Akron has let opponents rush for an average of 207 yards and pass for 193.9 yards per game. The Miami (OH) defense has allowed 191.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 189.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The RedHawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.32 to opponents, while the Zips have given up an 8.31 ANY/A.
Offensively, Nelson has put up 1,553 passing yards this season, and has completed 126-of-217 attempts with 10 passing scores and four interceptions. He’s got a 6.07 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.15 over the last two outings.
Jeremiah Knight (350 receiving yards on the year), Timothy Scippio (178 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Peter Hayes-Patrick (56 rush yards) have each played significant roles recently.
Brett Gabbert has managed to complete 113-of-211 passes for 1,585 yards, eight TDs and six INTs for Miami (OH). His ANY/A stands at 6.04 for the year and 10.86 over his last two games.
We’re looking for the RedHawks to control tempo by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. Along with WR James Maye (282 receiving yards, one receiving TD this season), Jaylon Bester (352 rush yards, seven rush TDs) and Tyre Shelton (346 rush yards, one rush TD) have brought significant production to the RedHawks’ recent offensive gameplans.
These two programs met last year with the final outcome being a 41-17 victory for Miami (OH).
Akron Zips at Miami (OH) RedHawks Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Miami (OH), ATS Winner: Akron, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Zips offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the RedHawks have put up nine such plays.
- The Akron defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Miami (OH) has given up six such plays.
- The Akron offense has created zero rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Miami (OH) has created 12 such runs.
- The Zips defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the RedHawks have given up 12 such runs.
- The Miami (OH) D has recorded 20 sacks on the year while Akron has just six.
- Akron has averaged 2.2 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 1.5 over its last two.
- Miami (OH) has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.9 over its last two.
- Over its last three games, Miami (OH) is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for Akron’s last game going into it was 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-14 loss to Eastern Michigan.
- In its last three matches, Akron is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Miami (OH)’s last matchup was set at 47.5. The under cashed in the 44-3 win over Bowling Green.
