The Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens are set to face off on the grass at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff for this importantmatchup is pegged for 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens
In what could be an AFC playoff preview, Baltimore has been projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Texans are also receiving +150 moneyline odds while the Ravens are -170. This AFC tilt should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 50 points.
The game’s total has been driven up after opening at 49. The original line of -4 has stayed firm.
Each team has been profitable this season as the Texans have gained 2.5 units and the Ravens are up 3.8 units.
The Texans are 6-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Ravens are 7-2 SU.
The Texans are coming off a resounding 26-3 win over Jacksonville on November 3. The passing game was on point as Deshaun Watson completed 22-of-28 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. Carlos Hyde (160 rushing yards on 19 attempts) led the ground attack. DeAndre Hopkins (eight receptions, 48 yards, one TD) and Duke Johnson (five catches, 68 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
The Baltimore Ravens take the field this week having just earned a lopsided 49-13 win over Cincinnati in Week 10. The team’s defensive unit let the Bengals run for 157 yards on 40 rush attempts. Joe Mixon was a bright spot in the loss, recording 114 rushing yards on 30 attempts for Cincinnati. As a group, the Ravens collectively completed 18-of-22 passes for 243 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Lamar Jackson went 15-for-17 for 223 yards and three touchdowns while Robert Griffin III was three-of-five for 20 yards and one interception. Mark Ingram II (34 yards on nine rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Jackson (65 yards on seven carries, one TD) led the running game while Andrews (six receptions, 53 yards, two TDs) and Marquise Brown (four catches, 80 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Houston’s run the ball on 46.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 54.8 percent. The Texans have run for 142.8 yards per game and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Ravens are averaging 197.2 rush yards per game and have 15 total rushing TDs.
The Texans offensive scheme has averaged 270.2 yards in the air overall and has 18 passing scores so far. The Ravens have recorded 234.6 pass yards per contest and have 16 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Houston has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 84.1 yards and throw for 295.1 yards per game. The Baltimore defense has given up 265.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 91.2 yards per game on the ground. The Ravens are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.11 to opposing QBs, while the Texans have allowed a 7.02 ANY/A.
Offensively, Watson has put up 2,153 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 70 percent of his 263 attempts with 15 passing scores and five interceptions. Watson has a 7.38 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.77 over the last two games.
We’re expecting the Texans to control the clock by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Along with DeAndre Hopkins (556 yards, four TDs), Carlos Hyde (621 rush yards, three rush TDs) and Duke Johnson (286 rush yards, one rush TD, 195 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have delivered in the offensive gameplans for Houston.
Lamar Jackson has managed to complete 151-of-232 passes for 1,873 yards, 14 TDs and five INTs for Baltimore. His ANY/A sits at 7.38 for the year and 11.34 over his past two games.
The Ravens should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Mark Ingram II (96 receiving yards), Marquise Brown (406 receiving yards and four receiving TDs) and Lamar Jackson (641 rush yards, four rush TDs) have seen a multitude of touches lately.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Ravens, ATS Winner: Ravens, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for Houston’s previous game was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 26-3 win over Jacksonville.
- Houston, as a team, has produced 5.0 yards per carry across its last three games and 5.2 over its last two.
- Baltimore has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its last two.
- The Baltimore offense has lost four fumbles this season while Houston has lost five.
- In its last three contests, Houston is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Houston has won five of its last six games SU, with an October 20th defeat to Indianapolis representing the only loss over that stretch.
- The O/U for Baltimore’s last game was 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 49-13 win over Cincinnati.
- In its last three matches, Baltimore is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Texans offense has registered seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ravens have accounted for six such plays.
- The Houston defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Baltimore has given up seven such plays.
- The Houston offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Baltimore has created 12 such runs.
- The Texans defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Ravens have given up three such runs.
- The Houston defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 21 times this year. Baltimore has produced 16 sacks.
