In a display of two schools with quite different run-pass ratios, the Rebels (+7) are gearing up to host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7) in Unlv. Fans can catch the action live on FCBK and this conference game gets underway at 4:00 p.m. ET. When these two schools met last year, Hawaii knocked off UNLV by a touchdown 35-28.
Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
In this Saturday Mountain West matchup, Hawaii is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put down $300 to net $100 back on the Rainbow Warriors (-300). The Rebels are getting +220 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at a sky-high 71 points, and if one side catches a lucky break early on, it will likely create a worthy betting opportunity in-game.
This game’s opening line was 6.5, while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 71.
The Rainbow Warriors have gained 4.8 units so far and are 4-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 7-3.
The Rebels are up 0.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-6.
The Rainbow Warriors have gone 6-4 straight up (SU), including 3-3 SU against conference opponents. The Rebels are 2-7 SU overall and 0-5 SU in conference play.
The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a 42-40 victory over San Jose State last week where their D allowed the Spartans to pass for 375 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 122 yards and two scores. DeJon Packer was unstoppable for the Spartans in that one with 112 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 20 attempts, along with 48 yards on four catches. On the offensive side, Chevan Cordeiro completed 23 passes on 31 attempts for 309 yards and three touchdowns. Miles Reed (124 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Cordeiro (55 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) led the ground attack. JoJo Ward (seven receptions, 170 yards, two TDs) and Cedric Byrd II (seven catches, 52 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Back on November 2, Colorado State got the victory against this UNLV crew by a score of 37-17. The Rebels defense let the Rams kill the clock by rushing for 174 yards on 36 attempts, including three rush TDs. Warren Jackson had a solid showing, recording 133 yards on six catches for Colorado State. For UNLV, Kenyon Oblad completed 22-of-39 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns. Charles Williams (83 rushing yards on 17 attempts) handled the running attack as Randal Grimes (seven receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and Tyleek Collins (four catches, 18 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Hawaii has run the ball on 38.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UNLV has an overall rush percentage of 52.8 percent. The Rainbow Warriors have rushed for 147.8 yards per game (including 166.3 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have 15 scores on the ground this year. The Rebels are averaging 162.9 rushing yards per game (106.2 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.
The Rainbow Warriors offensive scheme has averaged an astonishing 349.1 yards in the air overall (346.7 per game versus conference opposition) and has 32 passing scores so far. The Rebels have recorded 213.8 pass yards per contest (263 against MWC competition) and have 14 total pass TDs.
Hawaii has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 205 yards and pass for 246 yards per game. The UNLV D has given up 222.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 204.7 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Rainbow Warriors have given up an ANY/A of 7.12 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels are allowing an ANY/A of 7.37.
Cordeiro likely has the edge over Oblad in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.64for the season (and 10.54 over the past two outings). Oblad’s ANY/A is 5.63 for the season and 6.67 over his last two games.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at UNLV Rebels Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Hawaii, ATS Winner: Hawaii, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Hawaii’s last game was set at 78.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-40 victory over San Jose State.
- Hawaii has rushed for 6.6 yards per attempt across its past three games and 6.2 over its last two.
- UNLV has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 3.6 over its last two.
- UNLV has lost six fumbles this season while Hawaii has let 11 get away.
- Over its last three matchups, Hawaii is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for UNLV’s last game going into it was 63.5. The under cashed in the 37-17 loss to Colorado State.
- Over its last three matches, UNLV is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- UNLV has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a 24-point win over Vanderbilt on October 12th representing the lone victory over that stretch.
- The Rainbow Warriors offense has produced 13 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Rebels have put up eight such plays.
- The Hawaii defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while UNLV has given up 11 such plays.
- Both defenses have produced 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Hawaii offense has recorded 53 running plays of 10+ yards while UNLV has accounted for 42 such plays.
- The Rainbow Warriors defense has allowed 21 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rebels have given up 17 such runs.
- The Hawaii defense has 12 sacks on the year while UNLV has 10.
