In a battle featuring two teams that like running the football, Head Coach Mike Gundy and the No. 25 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-18) are set to welcome their in-conference foe Kansas Jayhawks at Boone Pickens Stadium. The afternoon matchup will begin at 12:00 p.m. ET and FS1 will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas is a noticeable road underdog in this Big 12 game and is currently getting 18 points. The Jayhawks are also receiving +800 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -1450. There will probably be some decent live betting opportunities while the game’s underway, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 66 points.
The opening line was -17. The game’s total hasn’t changed since it opened at 66.
The profitable Jayhawks have gained 5.8 units this season and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-4.
The Cowboys have gained 0.1 units this year. The team is 6-2-1 ATS and also owns an O/U record of 5-4.
The Jayhawks have gone just 3-6 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Cowboys are 6-3 SU overall and are also 3-3 SU in conference play.
The Jayhawks are reeling from a 38-10 defeat to Kansas State on November 2 where Carter Stanley completed only 13-of-23 passes for 115 yards and two interceptions. Pooka Williams Jr. (61 yards on 14 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. Andrew Parchment (five receptions, 49 yards) and Stephon Robinson Jr. (four catches, 62 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Oklahoma State just earned a 34-27 win over TCU back in Week 10. The defense allowed the Horned Frogs to run for 163 yards on 39 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Jalen Reagor had a good showing in the loss for TCU, accounting for 128 yards on seven catches. For Oklahoma State, Spencer Sanders completed nine-of-15 passes for 158 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Chuba Hubbard (223 yards on 20 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Sanders (88 yards on 19 carries) handled the ground attack in the win while Dillon Stoner (three receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) and Landon Wolf (two catches, 10 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Kansas has run the ball on 52.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma State has a rush percentage of 62.9 percent. The Jayhawks have produced 153.8 rush yards per game (including 129.8 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 10 scores via handoffs this year. The Cowboys are logging 267.7 rushing yards per game (258.8 in conference) and have 23 total rush TDs.
It seems like the Cowboys ought to hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has generated 5.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.2 to opponents. The Jayhawks have tallied 4.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.
The Jayhawks offensive scheme has averaged 231.1 yards in the air overall (249 per game versus conference opposition) and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Cowboys have put up 232.3 pass yards per outing (218 in the Big 12) and have 17 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 235.3 rush yards and 237.9 pass yards per game. The Oklahoma State defense has allowed 275.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 162.7 yards per game on the ground. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.65 to opposing QBs, while the Jayhawks have given up a 7.32 ANY/A.
Sanders has connected on 127-of-205 passes for 1,648 yards, 13 TDs and 10 INTs for Oklahoma State. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.10 for the season and 9.14 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Stanley has put up 1,600 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 142-of-227 attempts with 16 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Stanley’s got a 6.34 ANY/A.
These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 48-28 victory for Oklahoma State.
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Pick
SU Winner: Oklahoma State, ATS Winner: Oklahoma State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Kansas’ last game was 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-10 defeat to Kansas State.
- Kansas has averaged 4.5 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 3.0 over its last two.
- Oklahoma State has averaged 6.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.3 over its past two.
- The Oklahoma State offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Kansas has lost four.
- Over its last three contests, Kansas is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Oklahoma State’s previous match was set at 58.5. The over cashed in the 34-27 triumph over TCU.
- Over its last three matchups, Oklahoma State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Jayhawks offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cowboys have accounted for 11 such plays.
- The Kansas defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oklahoma State has given up nine such plays.
- The Kansas offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma State has created 29 such runs.
- The Jayhawks defense has allowed 17 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up 10 such runs.
- The Oklahoma State D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 19 times this year. Kansas has registered 16 sacks.
