Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Georgia Southern Eagles – 11/16/2019 Free Betting Pick

Posts AdminArticles, College Football, Football

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (+7) are heading northeast to face their conference counterpart Georgia Southern Eagles at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. Fans are able to tune in to the action on ESPN+ and the afternoon game is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

In this Saturday Sun Belt game, Georgia Southern is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to put up $300 to win $100 back on the Eagles (-300). The Warhawks are getting +220 moneyline odds. There should be some solid live betting opportunities while this game is taking place, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 58 points.

The Warhawks are down 1.0 unit so far and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-4-1.

The Eagles have gained 4.3 units this season. The team is 3-5-1 ATS and six of its games have gone over the total.

The Warhawks have gone 4-5 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against SBC opponents. The Eagles are 5-4 SU overall and are also 3-2 SU in conference play.

The Warhawks hope to make it two in a row 45-31 victory over Georgia State last week. Caleb Evans completed 24 passes on 32 attempts for 291 yards, three scores and one interception. Josh Johnson (168 rushing yards on 20 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Evans (110 yards on 16 carries, one TD) led the running attack in the win. Markis McCray (seven receptions, 35 yards, two TDs) and Zach Jackson (five catches, 91 yards) shared the receiving duties.

One game ago, Troy got the win against this Georgia Southern team by a score of 49-28. The Eagles defense allowed the Trojans to pass for 330 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 273 yards and three scores. DK Billingsley was a force to be reckoned with, putting up 163 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 14 attempts for Troy. For Georgia Southern, Shai Werts completed eight-of-16 passes for 181 yards and three touchdowns. Werts (22 yards on 22 rush attempts) and J.D. King (41 yards on 15 carries) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Malik Murray (three receptions, 95 yards, two TDs) and Colby Ransom (two catches, 48 yards) led all Georgia Southern pass-catchers.

Louisiana-Monroe has run the ball on 53.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia Southern has an overall rush percentage of 84 percent. The Warhawks have produced 216.4 rush yards/game (including 197.8 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 21 scores via handoffs this year. The Eagles are logging 257.1 rushing yards per game (263.8 in conference) and have 18 total rush TDs.

It appears that the Warhawks could hold an edge in the trenches, as their offensive line has yielded just 22 sacks while their D-line registered 34 sacks. The Eagles offensive line has allowed 19 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 26 occasions.

The Warhawks offensive scheme has logged 231.1 yards/game through the air overall (223.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 15 passing TDs so far. The Eagles have produced 59.8 pass yards per game (75 against SBC competition) and have five total pass scores.

Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 255.1 rush yards and 244.2 pass yards per game. The Georgia Southern defense has allowed 229 yards per game to opposing passers and 151.2 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Warhawks have given up an ANY/A of 7.00 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles are yielding an ANY/A of 7.36.

Werts has managed to complete 30-of-60 passes for 360 yards, five TDs and zero INTs. Werts’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at a less-than-spectacular 4.89 for the season and 7.17 over his past two outings. In the other huddle, Evans is up to 1,763 passing yards this season, and has completed 152-of-246 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Evans has a 6.64 ANY/A, including 7.70 over the last two outings.

When these two teams met a year ago, Louisiana-Monroe earned the win 44-25.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Georgia Southern Eagles NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Louisiana-Monroe, ATS Winner: Louisiana-Monroe, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Over/Under for Louisiana-Monroe’s previous game was 76. The O/U pushed in the team’s 45-31 triumph over Georgia State.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has produced 5.7 yards per carry across its past three contests and 6.3 over its last two.
  • Georgia Southern has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three matchups and only 4.6 over its past two.
  • The Georgia Southern offense has lost nine fumbles this season while Louisiana-Monroe has lost five.
  • Over its last three contests, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS.
  • The Over/Under for Georgia Southern’s previous outing going into it was 57.5. The over cashed in the 49-28 loss to Troy.
  • Over its last three contests, Georgia Southern is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Warhawks offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Eagles have accounted for one such play.
  • Both defenses have allowed 10 pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Louisiana-Monroe defense has given up 16 pass plays of 30+ yards while Georgia Southern has given up 14 such plays.
  • The Louisiana-Monroe offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Georgia Southern has created 24 such runs.
  • The Warhawks defense has allowed 21 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Eagles have given up 12 such runs.
  • The Louisiana-Monroe D has 16 sacks on the year while Georgia Southern has 12.