The Packers (-6) are ready to host the Carolina Panthers in Green Bay. This critical late afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.
Week 10 Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers
In what could be a NFC playoff preview, Green Bay is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 6 points. The Panthers are also receiving +180 moneyline odds while the Packers are -220. It appears that there might be multiple decent live betting opportunities in this matchup, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47 points.
After the game’s total was initially set at 48, the under has been receiving most of the early sharp action.
Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Panthers have gained 1.3 units and the Packers are up 4.3 units.
The Panthers have gone 5-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Packers are 7-2 SU.
The Panthers are coming off a 30-20 victory over Tennessee last week. The defense allowed the Titans to pass for 331 yards while rushing for 121 yards and two scores. Derrick Henry had a good day for the Titans in that one with 63 rushing yards and a score on 13 attempts, along with 36 yards and a score on three catches. On the offense, Kyle Allen completed only 17-of-32 passes for 232 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Christian McCaffrey (146 yards on 24 rush attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the running attack in the win. DJ Moore (seven receptions, 101 yards) and Curtis Samuel (three catches, 64 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.
Green Bay just fell 26-11 to the Chargers in Week 9. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Chargers to eat up the clock by rushing for 159 yards on 38 attempts, including two rush TDs. Mike Williams had a good showing for Los Angeles, accounting for 111 yards and a score on three catches. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 23-of-35 passes for 161 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones (30 rushing yards on eight attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Davante Adams (seven receptions, 41 yards) and Williams (six catches, 39 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.
Carolina’s run the ball on 42.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 40.4 percent. The Panthers have produced 132.9 rush yards/game and have 13 scores via handoffs this year. The Packers are logging 95.3 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.
The Panthers offensive scheme has logged 232.9 yards per contest through the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Packers have put up 276.1 pass yards per game and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Carolina appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 133.4 rush yards and 250.9 pass yards per game. The Green Bay defense has given up 272.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 127.7 yards per game on the ground. The Panthers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.42 to opposing QBs, while the Packers have given up a 6.62 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Allen is up to 1,133 yards this season, and has completed 63 percent of his 154 attempts with nine scores through the air and only one interception. Allen has a 6.95 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 2.20 over the past two games.
Aaron Rodgers has completed 185-of-285 passes for 2,180 yards, 14 TDs and two INTs for Green Bay. His ANY/A sits at 7.49 for the season and 6.25 over his last two games.
Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Pick
SU Winner: Packers, ATS Winner: Panthers, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Green Bay offense has lost five fumbles this season while Carolina has lost eight.
- The Carolina D has 34 sacks on the year while Green Bay has just 22.
- Carolina has produced 4.3 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.5 over its last two.
- Green Bay has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.
- Over its last three games, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Carolina’s previous game going into it was 43. The over cashed in the team’s 30-20 win over Tennessee.
- In its last three contests, Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Green Bay’s last match was 50. The under cashed in the 26-11 defeat to the Chargers.
- Carolina has won six of its last seven games SU, with a 38-point defeat to San Francisco on October 27th representing the only loss over that span.
