In a matchup between two squads ranked in the Top 23 overall nationally, the No. 23 Iowa State Cyclones (-11) are set to play host to the No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys at Jack Trice Stadium. FS1 is scheduled to broadcast the action and this pivotal conference matchup gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET. When these two squads met a year ago, Iowa State knocked off Oklahoma State by two field goals 48-42.
Betting Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones
In this Saturday Big 12 game, Iowa State has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 11 points. The Cowboys are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Cyclones are -450. If one team can create a bunch of points early it’ll generate a nice betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 64.5 points.
Early action has moved in favor of the Cyclones, as the opening line was -9. The game’s total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 64.5.
The Cowboys have lost 4.1 units so far and are 4-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.
The Cyclones have gained 1.6 units this season. The team is 5-2 ATS and also has an O/U record of 4-3.
The Cowboys are 4-3 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Cyclones are 5-2 SU overall and are also 3-1 SU in conference play.
Oklahoma State enters this one on a three-game winning streak while Iowa State has come up short in its last two in a row. The Cowboys hope to get back on track after a 45-27 loss to Baylor last week. Spencer Sanders completed only 18-of-32 passes for 157 yards, as well as one TD and an interception. Chuba Hubbard (171 yards on 32 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Sanders (31 yards on 14 carries) led the running attack. Tylan Wallace (six receptions, 69 yards) and LD Brown (two catches, 17 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
The Iowa State Cyclones just earned a 34-24 win over Texas Tech. The defense allowed the Red Raiders to run for 168 yards on 34 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. RJ Turner had a productive showing in the loss, recording 76 yards on 11 catches for Texas Tech. For Iowa State, Brock Purdy completed 23-of-32 passes for 378 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Breece Hall (183 yards on 19 rush attempts, two TDs) handled the running attack while Deshaunte Jones (seven receptions, 51 yards) and Tarique Milton (four catches, 98 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Oklahoma State has run the ball on 62.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Iowa State has an overall rush percentage of 49.6 percent. The Cowboys have run for 279.3 yards/game (including 274.8 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 20 scores on the ground this year. The Cyclones are averaging 160.4 rushing yards per game (144.3 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
It seems like the Cyclones ought to own an advantage when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has yielded only 10 sacks while their D-line has logged 17 sacks. The Cowboys offensive line has allowed 15 sacks and their defense has generated only 12 sacks.
The Cowboys offense has averaged 240.6 yards in the air overall (224.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Cyclones have recorded 320.7 pass yards per game (299 in the Big 12) and have 16 total pass scores.
Oklahoma State has let opponents rush for an average of 173.6 yards and pass for 258.7 yards per game. The Iowa State D has given up 222.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 111.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cyclones are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.33 to opponents, while the Cowboys have allowed an 8.15 ANY/A.
Purdy has been more productive than Sanders recently. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.73 for the season and 8.89 over his past two games while Sanders’ ANY/A is 6.61 and 3.53 over his last two.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Iowa State Cyclones Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Iowa State, ATS Winner: Iowa State, O/U: Under
Betting Notes
- The Iowa State defensive unit has created 17 sacks on the year while Oklahoma State has 12.
- The Iowa State offense has lost five fumbles in 2019 while the Oklahoma State offense has lost seven.
- The Cowboys offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Cyclones have accounted for eight such plays.
- The Oklahoma State defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Iowa State has given up two such plays.
- The Oklahoma State offense has created 24 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Iowa State has created eight such runs.
- The Cowboys defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cyclones have given up five such runs.
- The O/U for Iowa State’s previous match was 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-24 win over Texas Tech.
- Over its last three matches, Iowa State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- In its last three matchups, Oklahoma State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Oklahoma State has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 13-point victory over Kansas State on September 28th accounting for the only win over that stretch.
- The Over/Under for Oklahoma State’s last game going into it was 68.5. The over cashed in the team’s 45-27 loss to Baylor.
- Oklahoma State, as a team, has produced 5.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.7 over its last two.
- Iowa State has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.9 over its past two.
