The Troy Trojans and Georgia State Panthers are set to do battle on the turf at Parker H. Petit Field at Georgia State Stadium. The game will get going at 7:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on ESPN+.
Betting Preview: Georgia State Panthers vs. Troy Trojans
Georgia State enters this SBC game as the underdog and is currently getting 1 point. The Trojans are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Panthers are -105. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 66.5 points, and if one school can find paydirt in the early stages, it would likely result in a nice betting opportunity in-game.
The game’s total has moved down after opening at 67. The original line of 1 has yet to change.
The Trojans are down 2.5 units so far in 2019 and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 3-3.
The Panthers have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.2 units. They’re 4-1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-3.
The Trojans are 3-3 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Panthers are 5-2 SU overall and 2-1 SU in conference play.
The Trojans are coming off a resounding 37-13 win over South Alabama last week. The passing game wasn’t great as Kaleb Barker completed 20-of-30 passes for 194 yards, two scores and two interceptions. DK Billingsley (100 yards on 20 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Barker (36 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack. Bret Clark (four receptions, 60 yards) and Kaylon Geiger (four catches, 29 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Georgia State is coming off of a 28-21 win over Army West Point. Dan Ellington completed 20-of-28 passes for 232 yards and three touchdowns. Tra Barnett (108 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Ellington (39 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running attack while Cornelius McCoy (seven receptions, 66 yards) and Jonathan Ifedi (four catches, 31 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Troy has run the ball on 48.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia State has an overall rush percentage of 60.3 percent. The Trojans have produced 156.5 rush yards/game (including 169.5 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are putting up 238.3 rushing yards per game (298 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.
The Trojans offensive scheme has tallied 291.2 yards/contest in the air overall (298 per game versus conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Panthers have produced 226 pass yards per contest (241 against SBC competition) and also have 16 total pass scores.
Defensively, Troy has allowed 93.3 rush yards and 287.7 pass yards per game. The Georgia State defense has allowed 227.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 211.0 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Trojans have given up an ANY/A of 8.05 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers are allowing an ANY/A of 7.76.
Ellington has completed 124-of-189 passes for 1,460 yards, 15 TDs and two INTs for Georgia State. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 8.08 for the year and 6.83 over his past two games. In the other huddle, Barker is up to 1,578 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 128-of-197 attempts with 15 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Barker has an 8.06 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 2.78 over the past two games.
When these two programs met last year, Troy emerged victorious by a final score of 37-20.
Troy Trojans at Georgia State Panthers Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Troy, ATS Winner: Troy, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Troy’s last game going into it was 55. The under cashed in the team’s 37-13 win over South Alabama.
- Troy has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its past three contests and 3.4 over its last two.
- Georgia State has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.6 over its last two.
- Georgia State has lost five fumbles this season while Troy has lost four.
- Over its last three games, Troy is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Georgia State’s last game was 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-21 victory over Army West Point.
- In its last three matches, Georgia State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Trojans offense has produced five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Panthers have put up four such plays.
- The Troy defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia State has given up six such plays.
- The Troy offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Georgia State has created 10 such runs.
- The Trojans defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Panthers have given up 15 such runs.
- The Troy D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 15 times this year. Georgia State has registered 12 sacks.
