The San Diego State Aztecs (-7) aren’t traveling far to take on their MWC nemesis San Jose State Spartans at CEFCU Stadium. The matchup is scheduled to get going at 7:00 p.m. ET and you can watch the action on FCBK.
Betting Preview: San Diego State Aztecs vs. San Jose State Spartans
San Jose State is a live dog and is currently getting 7 points in this MWC game. In order to take the favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to put up $300 to win $100 back on the Aztecs (-300). The Spartans are getting +220 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points, and based on how things are lining up, there should be some good in-game betting possibilities for this contest.
The game’s total has swung downward after initially being set at 48.5. The opening line has yet to change.
The surprising Aztecs are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.5 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-5.
The Spartans are down 1.0 unit this season. The team is 3-2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-4.
The Aztecs are 5-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against MWC opponents. The Spartans are 3-3 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Aztecs are coming off a 26-22 victory over Wyoming last week. Ryan Agnew completed 21-of-32 passes for 209 yards and two touchdowns. Juwan Washington (84 rushing yards on 23 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Jesse Matthews (six receptions, 73 yards) and Kobe Smith (five catches, 39 yards) handled the receiving duties.
San Jose State narrowly fell 41-38 to Nevada. The defensive unit allowed the Wolf Pack to pass for 352 yards while rushing for 189 yards and three scores. Toa Taua was outstandingfor the Wolf Pack, recording 160 rushing yards and a score on 34 attempts. For San Jose State, Josh Love completed 23-of-45 passes for 405 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Tyler Nevens (10 rushing yards on six attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat while Tre Walker (six receptions, 87 yards, one TD) and Bailey Gaither (five catches, 131 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.
San Diego State has run the ball on 59.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Jose State has an overall rush percentage of 41 percent. The Aztecs have produced 132.2 rush yards/game (including 100.7 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have five touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Spartans are putting up 89.8 rushing yards per game (55 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
The Aztecs offense has logged 192.3 yards/game through the air overall (212.3 per game against conference opposition) and has nine passing scores so far. The Spartans have put up 326 pass yards per contest (366 in the MWC) and have 12 total pass TDs.
Defensively, San Diego State appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 64 yards and throw for 206 yards per game. The San Jose State defense has given up 243.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 217.7 yards per game on the ground. The Aztecs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.25 to opposing QBs, while the Spartans have given up a 5.1 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Agnew is up to 1,007 yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 62 percent of his 156 attempts with six passing scores and two interceptions. Agnew’s got a 5.86 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.71 over the last two games.
On the other sideline, Josh Love has completed 111-of-190 passes for 1,418 yards, eight TDs and two INTs. Love’s ANY/A stands at 7.52 for the season and 9.99 across his past two outings.
When these two teams met last year, San Diego State knocked San Jose State off by a field goal 16-13.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. San Jose State Spartans Free Pick
SU Winner: San Diego State, ATS Winner: San Diego State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for San Diego State’s last game was 37.5. The over cashed in the team’s 26-22 win over Wyoming.
- As a team, San Diego State has produced 2.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 2.7 over its last two.
- San Jose State has averaged 2.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 1.3 over its past two.
- San Jose State has lost four fumbles this season while San Diego State has let one get away.
- In its last three games, San Diego State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for San Jose State’s last matchup was set at 61. The over cashed in that 41-38 loss to Nevada.
- Over its last three matches, San Jose State is 2-0-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Aztecs offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Spartans have put up seven such plays.
- Both defenses have allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more. The San Diego State defense has given up nine pass plays of 30+ yards while San Jose State has permitted 13 such plays.
- The San Diego State offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while San Jose State has created five such runs.
- The Aztecs defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Spartans have given up seven such runs.
- The San Diego State defensive unit has three times as many sacks as San Jose State this year (15 to five).
