The No. 11 Auburn Tigers (-18.5) and Arkansas Razorbacks are ready to face off on the turf at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. This conference game will get going at 12:00 p.m. ET and SEC Network is in line to broadcast the action.
Betting Preview: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers
Arkansas is a significant underdog in this SEC game and is currently getting 18.5 points. The Tigers are also receiving -1550 moneyline odds while the Razorbacks are +830. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 55 points, and if one school can get out in front early, it’ll probably create a nice in-game betting opportunity.
The profitable Tigers have gained 3.3 units so far in 2019 and are 5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-3.
The Razorbacks are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4 ATS and own an O/U record of 1-5.
The Tigers have gone 5-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Razorbacks are 2-4 SU overall and 0-3 SU in conference play.
These two programs faced off last year with the final outcome being a 34-3 win for Auburn.
The Tigers are hoping to bounce back after a 24-13 loss to Florida on October 5. The passing attack wasn’t where it needed to be as Bo Nix completed just 11 passes on 27 attempts for 145 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. JaTarvious Whitlow (81 yards on 18 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Nix (18 yards on 10 carries) led the running attack. Seth Williams (four receptions, 79 yards, one TD) and Eli Stove (two catches, 14 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
One week ago, Kentucky got the win against this Arkansas crew by a score of 24-20. The Razorbacks defense allowed the Wildcats to rush for 330 yards on 54 attempts, including two rush TDs. Lynn Bowden Jr. was outstandingfor the Wildcats, putting up 196 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 24 attempts. As a group, the Razorbacks collectively completed 12-of-27 passes for 122 yards. Nick Starkel went seven-for-19 for 41 yards while Ben Hicks was five-of-eight for 81 yards. Rakeem Boyd (134 yards on 15 rush attempts, two TDs) handled the running game as Cheyenne O’Grady (four receptions, 44 yards) and Mike Woods (three catches, 18 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Auburn has run the ball on 63.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arkansas has a rush percentage of 45.2 percent. The Tigers have produced 229.8 rush yards per game (including 178 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Razorbacks are logging 148.7 rush yards per game (114 in conference) and have eight total rushing TDs.
Based on the results this season, it’s looking like the Tigers should own an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 5.1 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.3 YPC to opponents. The Razorbacks have tallied 4.7 yards per carry and allowed 4.6 YPC to opponents.
The Tigers offensive scheme has logged 193.7 yards per contest through the air overall (204 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing scores so far. The Razorbacks have put up 261.8 pass yards per game (240 in the SEC) and have eight total pass TDs.
Defensively, Auburn has allowed 101.3 rush yards and 235.3 pass yards per game. The Arkansas D has given up 224.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 175.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Tigers have given up an ANY/A of 6.03 to opposing QBs, while the Razorbacks are yielding an ANY/A of 6.13.
Offensively, Nix has amassed 790 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 51 percent of his 131 attempts with six scores through the air and five interceptions. He’s got a 4.56 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.31 over the past two outings.
Ben Hicks has connected on 26-of-53 passes for 322 yards, zero TDs and zero INTs for Arkansas. His ANY/A stands at 5.10 for the season and 6.72 over his past two games.
Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free Pick
SU Winner: Auburn, ATS Winner: Arkansas, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Auburn defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this season. Arkansas has produced 16 sacks.
- Arkansas has lost two fumbles in 2019 while Auburn has lost six.
- The Tigers offense has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Razorbacks have put up five such plays.
- The Auburn defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Arkansas has given up three such plays.
- The Auburn offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Arkansas has created seven such runs.
- The Tigers defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Razorbacks have given up 16 such runs.
- The O/U for Arkansas’ previous matchup was 52. The under cashed in the 24-20 loss to Kentucky.
- In its last three matches, Arkansas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three games, Auburn is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Arkansas has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 21-point triumph over Colorado State on September 14th representing the only win over that span.
- The Over/Under for Auburn’s last game going into it was 49. The under cashed in the team’s 24-13 defeat to Florida.
- As a team, Auburn has rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt across its past three outings and 4.3 over its last two.
- Arkansas has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.0 over its past two.
