The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (+14) are heading northeast to take on their in-conference rival No. 24 Appalachian State Mountaineers at Kidd Brewer Stadium. The vital daytime matchup will start at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on ESPN+.
Betting Preview: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
This Saturday SBC game shows the Warhawks as a big dogs and they’re currently being given 14 points. The Warhawks are also receiving +500 moneyline odds while the Mountaineers are -735. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 65 points. Based on how things are shaking out, there should be some good live betting possibilities for this game.
Sharp bettors have been hammering the Warhawks. The line opened at -17 and the game’s O/U hasn’t changed after it was initially established at 65.
The Warhawks have gained 0.0 units so far and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 3-3.
The surprising Mountaineers are up 3.4 units this season. They’re 4-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 3-2.
The undefeated Warhawks have gone 3-3 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against conference opponents. The Mountaineers are 5-0 SU overall and 2-0 SU in conference play.
The Warhawks just pulled off a 24-14 win over Texas State last week. The Warhawks allowed the Bobcats to throw for 246 yards and run for 92 yards. Offensively, Caleb Evans completed only 18-of-33 passes for 225 yards and one interception. Josh Johnson (114 yards on 22 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Evans (55 yards on eight carries) led the running attack. Malik Jackson (five receptions, 55 yards) and Markis McCray (four catches, 49 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Appalachian State is coming off of a 17-7 win over Louisiana. Zac Thomas completed 11-of-17 passes for 147 yards. Darrynton Evans (69 rushing yards on 22 attempts) and the signal-caller Thomas (63 yards on 15 carries, two TDs) led the running game as Thomas Hennigan (four receptions, 30 yards) and Malik Williams (four catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Louisiana-Monroe’s run the ball on 53.7 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 56.1 percent across possessions in conference play. Appalachian State has an overall rush percentage of 64.4 percent, and has carried the ball 69.4 percent of the time when facing SBC opponents. The Warhawks have run for 217.5 yards/game (including 173 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Mountaineers are putting up 218.8 rushing yards per game (190 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
The Warhawks offensive scheme has logged 245.3 yards/contest through the air overall (255.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Mountaineers have recorded 193.2 pass yards per outing (197 against SBC foes) and have eight total pass TDs.
Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 228.8 yards and pass for 249.8 yards per game. The Appalachian State defense has allowed 230.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 156.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Warhawks have given up an ANY/A of 6.71 to opposing QBs, while the Mountaineers are yielding an ANY/A of 6.52.
Passing-wise, Evans has put up 1,111 yards this year, and has completed 96-of-151 attempts with eight scores through the air and three interceptions. He has a 6.95 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.57 over the last two outings.
Zac Thomas has completed 61-of-90 passes for 703 yards, five TDs and one INT for Appalachian State. His ANY/A stands at 7.23 for the year and 8.35 across his past two outings.
These two conference foes did not get a chance to face one another last year.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Appalachian State, ATS Winner: Appalachian State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Appalachian State defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 14 times this season. Louisiana-Monroe has registered 11 sacks.
- The Appalachian State offense has lost zero fumbles in 2019 while the Louisiana-Monroe offense has lost three.
- The Warhawks offense has tallied one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Mountaineers have accounted for five such plays.
- The Louisiana-Monroe defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Appalachian State has given up zero such plays.
- The Louisiana-Monroe offense has created 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Appalachian State has created 11 such runs.
- The Warhawks defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Mountaineers have given up eight such runs.
- The O/U for Appalachian State’s last game was set at 69. The under cashed in the 17-7 win over Louisiana.
- Over its last three matchups, Appalachian State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- Over its last three games, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Louisiana-Monroe’s last game going into it was 61. The under cashed in the team’s 24-14 win over Texas State.
- Louisiana-Monroe has produced 5.1 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.3 over its last two.
- Appalachian State has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.1 over its last two.
