The Packers (-5) are set to welcome their NFC North foe Detroit Lions to Green Bay. The key Monday Night matchup kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN.
Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
In what might be a NFC playoff preview, Green Bay has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. The Lions are also receiving +160 moneyline odds while the Packers are -180. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points. There could be some good live betting possibilities during this game.
Early action has swayed to both the Lions and the over. The line initially opened at -7 while the over/under was originally 46.5.
Both of these teams have been profitable this season as the Lions have gained 1.5 units and the Packers are ahead 3.0 units.
The Lions have gone 2-1-1 straight up (SU) and they have yet to face any NFC North opponents this year. The Packers are 4-1 SU overall and 2-0 SU versus divisional foes.
The Lions are on the rebound after a 34-30 loss to Kansas City on September 29 where Matthew Stafford completed 21 passes for 291 yards and three touchdowns. Kerryon Johnson (125 yards on 26 rush attempts) provided the ground attack in the loss while Kenny Golladay (five receptions, 67 yards, two TDs) and Logan Thomas (three catches, 25 yards) shared the receiving duties.
The Green Bay Packers are coming off of a 34-24 win over Dallas in Week 5. The defensive unit allowed the Cowboys to pass for 463 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 122 yards. Amari Cooper was outstanding, recording 226 yards and a score on 11 catches for the Cowboys. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 22-of-34 passes for 238 yards. Aaron Jones contributed in all facets in the win. Along with 107 yards on 19 rush attempts (and four TDs), Jones also reeled in seven catches for 75 yards.
Detroit has run the ball on 46.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has an overall rush percentage of 41.4 percent. The Lions have produced 120.5 rush yards per game (including 0 per game against North opponents) and have one score via handoffs this year. The Packers are logging 93 rushing yards per game (95.5 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
The Lions offensive scheme has logged 280.5 yards per game in the air overall (0 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing score so far. The Packers have recorded 261.4 pass yards per contest (206 against NFC competition) and have six total pass TDs.
Defensively, Detroit has allowed opponents to run for an average of 124.8 yards and pass for 293.8 yards per game. The Green Bay defense has allowed 258.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 138.2 yards per game on the ground. The Packers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.2 to opposing QBs, while the Lions have given up a 6.29 ANY/A.
Stafford probably has the advantage over Rodgers in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.08for the season (and 7.74 over the past two outings). Rodgers’ ANY/A is 6.52 for the season and 6.93 over his last two games.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Lions, ATS Winner: Lions, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Green Bay D has sacked opposing QBs 15 times this season. Detroit has produced just nine sacks.
- Green Bay has lost three fumbles this season while Detroit has let four get away.
- The Lions offense has created one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Packers have accounted for three such plays.
- Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Detroit defense has given up eight pass plays of 30+ yards while Green Bay has yielded six such plays.
- The Detroit offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Green Bay has created zero such runs.
- Both teams have allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Lions have given up 12 running plays of 10+ yards while the Packers have given up 14 such plays.
- The Over/Under for Green Bay’s last matchup was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-24 triumph over Dallas.
- In its last three games, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- In its last three matches, Detroit is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Detroit’s last game was set at 55. The over cashed in the team’s 34-30 defeat to Kansas City.
- Detroit has produced 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
- Green Bay has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
