Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets – Week 6 Free Betting Pick

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The Dallas Cowboys (-8.5) are heading northeast to take on the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets

In this Sunday matchup, Dallas is tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 8.5 points. The Cowboys are also receiving -350 moneyline odds while the Jets are +270. If one squad finds paydirt early on it will result in a nice live betting scenario. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points.

The sharp action has been siding with the Cowboys. The line opened at 7 and the game’s total hasn’t moved after it was initially set at 43.5.

The Cowboys are down 0.9 units so far in 2019 and 3-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 3-2.

The Jets have lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-3.

The Cowboys have gone 3-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Jets are 0-4 SU.

The Cowboys look to get back on track after a 34-24 loss to Green Bay last week. Dak Prescott completed 27-of-44 passes for 463 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott (62 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Amari Cooper (11 receptions, 226 yards, one TD) and Michael Gallup (seven catches, 113 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 5, Philadelphia got the victory against this New York team by a score of 31-6. Luke Falk completed 15-of-26 passes for 120 yards and two interceptions. Le’Veon Bell did it all in the loss. Along with 43 rushing yards on 15 attempts, Bell also reeled in seven catches for 45 yards.

Dallas has run the ball on 44.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 41.2 percent. The Cowboys have produced 140.8 rush yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Jets are averaging 66 rush yards per game and have just one rushing TD.

If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then the Cowboys ought to have the advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has yielded just 56 sacks while the D-line registered 39 sacks. The Jets offensive line has allowed 37 sacks and their defense has generated only 39 sacks.

The Cowboys offensive scheme has logged 321.2 yards/game in the air overall and has 11 passing scores so far. The Jets have produced 148.5 pass yards per outing and have just one pass TD.

Defensively, Dallas appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 101.4 yards and pass for 240.8 yards per game. The New York D has allowed 272 yards per game to opposing passers and 87.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.53 to opposing QBs, while the Jets have given up a 6.32 ANY/A.

Prescott likely has the edge over Falk in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.39for the year (and 6.33 over the last two games). Falk’s ANY/A is 2.60 for the season and 0.03 across his past two games.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • As a team, Dallas has rushed for 5.4 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 4.1 over its last two.
  • New York has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three games and only 2.6 over its past two.
  • New York has lost three fumbles this season while Dallas has let two get away.
  • The Cowboys offense has registered six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jets have accounted for zero such plays.
  • Both defenses have allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Dallas defense has given up two pass plays of 30+ yards while New York has yielded five such plays.
  • The Dallas offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New York has created zero such runs.
  • The Cowboys defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Jets have given up two such runs.
  • The Dallas D has twice as many sacks as New York this year (12 to six).