Washington Redskins vs. Miami Dolphins – Week 6 Free Betting Pick

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The Washington Redskins (-4) are set to face off against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. FOX will broadcast the action and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Redskins

Miami enters this game as the underdog and is currently getting 4 points. The Redskins are also receiving -170 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are +150. Some solid live betting scenarios should be unveiled during this matchup, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 40.5 points.

The early action has slanted toward the Dolphins. The opening line was originally placed at 5 and the O/U was initially 41.

The Redskins are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 3-2.

The Dolphins are down 2.0 units this season. The team is 0-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-3.

The Redskins are 0-5 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Dolphins are 0-4 SU.

The Redskins fell to New England 33-7 in a Week 5 blowout where Colt McCoy completed 18 passes for only 119 yards and one interception. Adrian Peterson (only 18 rushing yards on seven attempts) spearheaded the ground attack in the loss while Chris Thompson (five receptions, 17 yards) and Trey Quinn (three catches, 15 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Miami just suffered a 30-10 defeat to the Chargers. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Chargers to air it out for 317 yards and two touchdowns. Austin Ekeler had a solid outing in the win, posting 60 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts, along with 62 yards on five catches for Los Angeles. For Miami, Josh Rosen completed 17-of-24 passes for 180 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Kenyan Drake (44 yards on nine rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Preston Williams (four receptions, 46 yards) and DeVante Parker (four catches, 70 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.

Each of these teams has a similar (67-33 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Redskins have rushed for 68.8 yards/game and have two scores via handoffs this year. The Dolphins are averaging 51.8 rushing yards per game and have yet to record a rush TD.

The Redskins offense has averaged 239.2 yards in the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Dolphins have produced 196.3 pass yards per game and have two total pass score.

Defensively, Washington should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 144 rush yards and 277.2 pass yards per game. The Miami defense has allowed 301.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 175.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.40 to opponents, while the Dolphins have given up an ugly 11.31 ANY/A.

Rosen probably has the edge over McCoy in this one. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 2.30 for the season and 4.56 over his past two games while McCoy’s ANY/A is 0.91.

Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Washington defense has sacked opposing QBs nine times this year. Miami has produced five sacks.
  • Miami has lost two fumbles this season while Washington has let three get away.
  • Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Redskins have have made four pass plays of 30+ yards while the Dolphins have created three such plays.
  • The Washington defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Miami has given up two such plays.
  • The Washington offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Miami has created zero such runs.
  • The Redskins defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Dolphins have given up three such runs.
  • As a team, Washington has produced 4.6 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.
  • Miami has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.4 over its past two.