The Minnesota Twins will be taking on the New York Yankees in Game 1 of the ALDS. The first pitch of the series is scheduled be thrown at 7:07 p.m. ET and this opening game is going to be televised on MLB Network.
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Minnesota (+170) as the underdog to New York (-180). The total stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +110 or the under for -130. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -130 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Yankees -1.5.
In the regular season, the Yankees are 103-59 straight up (SU) and 93-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Twins have gone 101-61 SU this year and are 90-72 against the spread. In total, the club has gained 22.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.2 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Yankees games have had an over/under record of 85-72-5 in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 81-76-5.
Jose Berrios will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Berrios (14-8, 3.68 ERA) has recorded 195 strikeouts in 200.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and seven strikeouts over four innings).
The Yankees are handing the ball to lefty James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA), who has 186 strikeouts and 55 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Paxton is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.51 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .209/.277/.395 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the charge for the Yankees’ offense this year. LeMahieu is hitting .327/.375/.518 with 26 home runs, 102 RBIs and 109 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .278 with 38 homers, 90 RBIs and 96 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.19 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.17, along with a K/9 of 9.71.
The Twins offense has slashed .270/.340/.494 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is hitting .295/.356/.485 with 22 home runs, 79 RBIs and 107 runs scored, while Rosario (.276/.300/.500) has produced 32 homers, 109 RBIs and 91 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 1.1 units and are 22-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 7.8 units and are 61-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 58 of those games, compared to 50 that went under.
Twins at Yankees MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just two of Minnesota’s last seven contests.
- The Twins have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- The Twins have a team OPS of .834 this season, including an OPS of .878 against left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .830 overall and .851 against southpaws.
- New York has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games SU.
