The Broncos (-3) are gearing up to welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars to Sports Authority Field at Mile High. This late afternoon game starts at 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Betting Preview: Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
In this Sunday AFC matchup, Denver is labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Jaguars are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Broncos are -150. If one side can get out in front early on it’ll create a solid betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 38 points.
The Jaguars are down 0.9 units so far in 2019 and 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-2.
The Broncos have lost 3.5 units this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and also owns an O/U record of 1-2.
The Jaguars have gone 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Broncos are 0-3 SU.
The Jags are coming off a resounding 20-7 victory over Tennessee in Week 3 where Gardner Minshew II completed 20-of-30 passes for 204 yards and two touchdowns. Leonard Fournette (66 yards on 15 rush attempts) led the running attack. Fournette (six receptions, 26 yards) and Dede Westbrook (five catches, 46 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
In Week 3, Green Bay knocked off this Denver crew by a score of 27-16. The Broncos defensive unit did its part in the loss, limiting the Packers to just 235 passing yards and 77 rushing yards. Marquez Valdes-Scantling put up a productive outing for Green Bay, posting 99 yards on six catches. For Denver, Joe Flacco completed 20-of-29 passes for 213 yards and one interception. Phillip Lindsay (81 rushing yards on 21 attempts, two TDs) and Royce Freeman (63 yards on 15 carries) spearheaded the running game as Courtland Sutton (five receptions, 87 yards) and Lindsay (four catches, 49 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Jacksonville’s run the ball on 37.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Denver has an overall rush percentage of 43.6 percent. The Jaguars have produced 90.7 rush yards/game and have yet to record a score on the ground this year. The Broncos are logging 111.3 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Jaguars ought to own the edge when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has yielded just 53 sacks while the D-line registered 37 sacks. The Broncos, on the other hand, have given up 34 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 44 occasions.
The Jags offensive scheme has averaged 255.7 yards in the air overall and has six passing score so far. The Broncos have put up 257.7 pass yards per game and have two total pass TDs.
Defensively, Jacksonville has let opponents rush for an average of 110 yards and pass for 280.3 yards per game. The Denver D has allowed 204.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.3 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.10 to opponents, while the Broncos have allowed a 7.98 ANY/A.
Offensively, Minshew II has put up 479 passing yards this year, and has completed 76 percent of his 55 attempts with four passing scores and one interception. Minshew II’s got a 9.13 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.60 over the past two games.
Joe Flacco has managed to complete 41-of-60 passes for 481 yards, one TD and one INT for Denver. His ANY/A stands at 5.58 for the season and 4.29 over his past two outings.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos NFL Pick
SU Winner: Broncos, ATS Winner: Jaguars, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Jaguars offense has created one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have put up two such plays.
- The Jacksonville defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Denver has given up two such plays.
- The Jacksonville offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Denver has created zero such run.
- Both teams have allowed one rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Jaguars have given up seven running plays of 10+ yards while the Broncos have given up six such plays.
- The Jacksonville D has sacked opposing QBs 13 times this season. Denver has yet to record a sack.
- As a team, Jacksonville has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last two outings.
- Denver has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last two.
- In its last three games, Denver is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Jacksonville’s last game was set at 38. The under cashed in the team’s 20-7 triumph over Tennessee.
- Over its last three matchups, Jacksonville is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Denver’s previous game was set at 41. The over cashed in that 27-16 defeat to Green Bay.
