Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

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The ice-cold St. Louis Cardinals will try to avoid losing their fifth in a row when they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Busch Stadium. The matchup begins at 3:15 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either WLS or FSMW.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

The Cubs have gone 84-77 SU this year and are 75-85 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units ATS. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 90-71 SU and 84-76 ATS. They’ve gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS.

Cardinals games have had an over/under record of 65-83-12 in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 74-75-11.

The left-handed Derek Holland will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. Holland is 2-4 with a 5.47 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jack Flaherty (10-8, 2.85 ERA), who has 225 punchouts and 54 walks, along with a 0.99 WHIP. Flaherty is 1-1 with 34 strikeouts and a 3.07 ERA over five starts against Chicago this year.

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.81, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 75 games against NL Central foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.51.

The St. Louis offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.326/.413 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Cardinals’ batters have been led by Paul Goldschmidt, who is slashing .256/.342/.469 with 33 home runs, 95 RBIs and 95 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.

Cubs hitters have slashed .253/.334/.454 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Kris Bryant has led Chicago’s offense. Bryant is slashing .282/.382/.521 with 31 home runs, 77 RBIs and 108 runs scored.

The Cubs just took the previous game in the series by a final score of eight runs to six.

Cubs at Cardinals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Chicago has tallied 18 extra-base hits over its last five contests. St. Louis has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Cubs have a total OPS of .788 this season and an OPS of .800 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .738 overall and .736 versus righties.
  • Chicago has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.