The Cincinnati Reds are ready to face off against their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates in a Sunday matinee. The action gets going at 3:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on either ATPT or FSOH.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
The Reds have gone 74-87 SU this year and are 83-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.1 units for moneyline bettors and 4.6 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 69-92 SU and 78-82 ATS. They’ve lost 10.4 units for moneyline bettors and 20.8 units ATS.
Pirates games have had an over/under record of 92-60-8 in 2019. Cincinnati has been a strong under bet with a total record of 60-90-10.
The right-handed Tyler Mahle will get the nod for the visiting Reds. Mahle is 2-12 with a 5.34 ERA and 124 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trevor Williams (7-8, 5.58 ERA), who’s got 108 punchouts and 42 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.44. Williams is 2-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA over three starts against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 5.42 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 75 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 5.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.26.
The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .276/.321/.403 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 steals, while the line for Reynolds stands at .314/.377/.503 with 16 homers, 68 RBIs and 83 runs.
For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.70 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.23.
Reds hitters have slashed .244/.316/.421 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Cincinnati’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias, who collectively have blasted 60 home runs. Suarez is slashing .273/.359/.575 with 49 home runs, 103 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Iglesias (.288/.318/.407) is up to 11 homers, 59 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
Reds at Pirates Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. Pittsburgh has 15 XBH over its last five.
- The Reds have a team OPS of .737 this season and an OPS of .728 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .745 overall and .763 versus righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit four over their last 10.
