Francisco Lindor and the Cleveland Indians will do battle against their division rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field in a Thursday night game. The game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on NSC+ and STOh.
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Chicago (+180) as the underdog to Cleveland (-190). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish below 9.5 runs scored, then Vegas is offering -110 odds for the under. Playing the over give you -110 odds. There’s a runline of Indians -1.5 (-135) and White Sox +1.5 (+115) for this matchup.
The Indians have gone 93-65 SU this year and are 86-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.6 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 69-88 SU and 75-80 ATS. They’ve gained 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 9.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Chicago games have a 73-75-7 over/under record in 2019. Cleveland has been a solid under bet with a total record of 68-85-4.
Aaron Civale is getting the nod for Cleveland. The right-handed Civale (3-3, 1.82 ERA) has recorded 42 strikeouts in 54.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Chicago this year.
The White Sox are handing the ball to righty Dylan Cease (4-7, 5.79 ERA), who has 81 strikeouts and 35 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.55. Cease is 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.
Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.68 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.63, along with a WHIP of 1.18.
Indians hitters have slashed .251/.328/.435 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Cleveland’s hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana, who collectively have blasted 65 home runs. Lindor is hitting .287/.340/.520 with 31 home runs, 72 RBIs, 100 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Santana (.284/.399/.521) has produced 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 110 runs scored.
For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 5.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 71 games against AL Central opponents, White Sox starters have an ERA of 5.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.61.
The Chicago hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .340/.366/.518 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Jose Abreu and Tim Anderson have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is slashing .283/.328/.501 with 33 home runs, 122 RBIs and 82 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .339/.358/.514 with 18 homers, 56 RBIs, 80 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Indians have gained 1.5 units and are 55-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 61 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 6.3 units and are 42-60 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under.
Indians vs. White Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Cleveland has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 21 XBH over its last five.
- Cleveland has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Indians have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Indians have an OPS of .763 this season and an OPS of .761 when facing right-handed pitchers. The White Sox’ OPS sits at .727 overall and .708 versus righties.
