Cesar Hernandez and the struggling Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on their divisional foe Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in a Wednesday showdown. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to broadcast the action.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds
Las Vegas has Philadelphia (+150) as the underdog to Washington (-160). You can play game’s total with current odds posted at -115 for over 10 runs and -105 for under 10. This game currently has a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-145) and Nationals -1.5 (+125).
The Phillies are 79-78 SU and have gone 74-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.1 units for moneyline bettors and 9.4 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 88-69 SU and 86-69 ATS. They’ve lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 12.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 72-74-9 in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 73-77-5.
Drew Smyly will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The southpaw Smyly is 4-7 with a 6.44 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Nationals are handing the ball to righty Anibal Sanchez (10-8, 3.91 ERA), who has 127 strikeouts and 58 walks as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Sanchez is 0-2 with 20 strikeouts and a 4.43 ERA across four starts against Philadelphia this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.59 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K/9 of 8.96.
The Phillies offense has slashed .245/.321/.426 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .281/.335/.401 with 12 home runs, 69 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Segura is hitting .279 with 12 homers, 60 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
For the home team, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.79 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 74 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.26.
Washington’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.393/.418 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ offense this year. Rendon is slashing .322/.410/.603 with 34 home runs, 124 RBIs and 115 runs scored, while Eaton’s line sits at .282/.366/.434 with 15 homers, 48 RBIs, 100 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 4.9 units and are 57-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 55 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 1.2 units and are 22-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.
Phillies vs. Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Nationals have taken five of their last six.
- Washington has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.4 over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .733 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .794 overall and .782 against righties.
