Michael Brantley and the surging Houston Astros will pay a visit to Seattle to play a divisional opponent in the Mariners at T-Mobile Park. The game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on both RTNW and ATSW.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds
Vegas has offered equal moneyline odds on each team. The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. There’s a runline of Astros () and Mariners () for this matchup.
The Astros have gone 102-54 SU this year and are 84-72 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, gaining 3.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 0.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 66-90 SU and 78-78 ATS. The team has lost 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.0 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Mariners games have an 85-60-11 over/under record in 2019. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-80-5.
The right-handed Gerrit Cole is the projected starter for the visiting Astros. Cole is 18-5 with a 2.61 ERA and 302 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 36 strikeouts and a 1.71 ERA against Seattle this year (three starts).
The Mariners will turn to Justin Dunn (0-0, 6.75 ERA), who’s got one strikeouts and eight walks as well as a 3.38 WHIP. Dunn has yet to face the Astros this year and did not accrue any MLB appearances in 2018.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.82, along with a K-per-9 of 9.88.
Astros hitters have slashed .276/.357/.497 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Brantley is hitting .315/.377/.504 with 21 home runs, 86 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Gurriel is hitting .305 with 30 homers, 102 RBIs and 84 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 70 games against AL West foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 5.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.98.
The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.283/.354 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners’ offense has been led by catcher Omar Narvaez and outfielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is slashing .284/.358/.472 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Smith’s line is .229/.303/.339 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 69 runs and 45 stolen bases.
The Mariners have gained 0.0 units and are 57-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 59 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Astros at Mariners Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Houston has recorded 22 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Astros have won seven of their last eight games SU.
- Seattle has posted 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
- The Astros have hit 25 home runs in their last 10 games, including 15 over their last five.
