Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Free Pick

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Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers will head west to take on their NL West nemesis San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Spectrum SportsNet LA will broadcast the action and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds

Sportsbooks have San Diego (+175) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-185). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. This game currently has a runline of Dodgers -1.5 (-130) and Padres +1.5 (+110).

The Dodgers have gone 100-56 SU this year and are 75-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 8.9 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 70-86 SU and 72-84 ATS. The team’s lost 19.5 units for moneyline bettors and 21.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Neither squad has been an obvious over/under play this year. Padres games have had an over/under record of 74-74-8 in 2019. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 72-74-10.

Rich Hill will get the start for the visiting Dodgers. The left-handed Hill is 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are handing the ball to Ronald Bolanos (0-1, 5.79 ERA), who’s got 11 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Bolanos hasn’t faced the Dodgers yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2018.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.15 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 9.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K/9 of 9.41.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .258/.340/.472 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been paced by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who collectively have launched 73 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .302/.404/.628 with 46 home runs, 114 RBIs, 118 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Turner (.290/.369/.511) is up to 27 homers, 67 RBIs and 80 runs scored.

For the home team, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.68 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 70 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.33 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.

The San Diego hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .190/.275/.313 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .273/.319/.433 with 21 home runs, 97 RBIs and 71 runs scored, and Machado’s line is .251/.331/.452 with 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs.

The Padres have lost 5.1 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.

Dodgers at Padres Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Los Angeles has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 10 XBH over its last five.
  • San Diego has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.6 over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.