Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins will be taking on their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field in a Tuesday showdown. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the action.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Bookmakers have Miami (+210) as the underdog to New York (-230). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at -110 for over 8 runs and -110 for under 8. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-105) and Mets -1.5 (-115).
The Marlins have gone 55-101 SU this year and are 79-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.1 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 81-75 SU and 81-74 ATS. They’ve lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.7 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 77-65-13 in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 73-70-12.
Sandy Alcantara will get the start for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Alcantara is 5-14 with a 4.00 ERA and 140 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.51 ERA against New York this year (four starts).
The Mets are planning to start righty Noah Syndergaard (10-8, 4.22 ERA), who has 186 punchouts and 48 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Syndergaard is 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA across two starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.08, along with a K/9 of 9.24.
The Marlins offense has slashed .241/.302/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is slashing .270/.299/.433 with 21 home runs, 83 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Rojas (.285/.333/.385) has produced five homers, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 70 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.93.
The New York offense has produced 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .236/.332/.448 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil have led the charge for the Mets’ offense this year. Rosario is hitting .286/.322/.434 with 15 home runs, 70 RBIs, 73 runs and 18 stolen bases, and McNeil’s line is .316/.384/.531 with 23 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 17.4 units and are 55-59 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.2 units and are 60-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 60 of those games, compared to 46 that went under.
Marlins at Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Miami’s last seven contests.
- Miami has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .675 this season and an OPS of .663 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .763 against righties.
