The Milwaukee Brewers are heading east to take on their divisional foe Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will be airing the matchup and the game will get going at 6:40 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-130) is hosting this one as the favorite against Milwaukee (+120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Brewers +1.5 runs (-175) and Reds -1.5 runs (+155).
The Reds are 83-73 against the spread (ATS), but just 73-83 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.3 units ATS. The Brewers have gone 86-70 SU this year and are 73-83 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 6.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 16.5 units ATS.
Reds games have an over/under record of 58-89-9 in 2019. Brewers games have gone under 84 times, gone over 67 times and pushed on five occasions.
Adrian Houser will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Houser is 6-7 with a 3.83 ERA and 109 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of righty Sonny Gray (11-7, 2.80 ERA), who has 199 strikeouts and 66 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.09. Gray is 2-0 with 34 strikeouts and a 1.85 ERA across four starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 70 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 4.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.29.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .232/.306/.339 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is slashing .272/.353/.574 with 48 home runs, 102 RBIs and 86 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .287/.314/.406 with 11 homers, 55 RBIs and 60 runs.
For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.49 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a K-per-9 of 10.19.
Brewers hitters have slashed .247/.331/.439 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 steals, while Cain (.252/.318/.358) has produced 10 homers, 47 RBIs, 73 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 7.1 units and are 52-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 1.5 units and are 63-54 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 67 that’ve gone under.
Brewers at Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .770 this season and an OPS of .765 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .739 overall and .729 versus righties.
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games SU.
- Milwaukee has recorded 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
- The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
