The Washington Nationals are playing host to their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Nationals Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast the matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+165) as the underdog to Washington (-175). If you think the game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will give you even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -135 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +115 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Phillies are 79-75 SU and have gone 74-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.5 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 85-69 SU and 85-68 ATS. They’ve lost 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 12.5 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Nationals games have had an over/under record of 72-73-8 in 2019. Phillies games have gone under 77 times, gone over 72 times and pushed on four occasions.
The right-handed Zach Eflin will get the start for Philadelphia. Eflin (9-12, 4.00 ERA) has recorded 121 strikeouts in 150.2 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Washington this year (three starts).
The Nationals are countering with Patrick Corbin (13-7, 3.10 ERA). Corbin has 224 strikeouts and 64 walks, along with a 1.16 WHIP. Corbin is 1-0 with 24 strikeouts and a 3.32 ERA over three starts against Philadelphia this year.
Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.53, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 5.89 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 71 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.55 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.50.
The Washington hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .278/.360/.394 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Anthony Rendon and outfielder Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ offense this year. Rendon is hitting .325/.410/.609 with 34 home runs, 120 RBIs and 114 runs scored, while Eaton is batting .280 with 14 homers, 47 RBIs, 97 runs and 14 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.56 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 8.90.
The Phillies offense has slashed .247/.323/.428 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .282/.335/.403 with 12 home runs, 68 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Segura is hitting .281/.326/.427 with 12 homers, 59 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 9.0 units and are 17-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 3.4 units and are 63-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 56 of those games, as opposed to 54 which went under the total.
Phillies vs. Nationals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Philadelphia has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Washington has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .751 this season, including an OPS of .782 against left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .792 overall and .818 against lefties.
- Philadelphia has posted 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
