The Boston Red Sox are ready to face off against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays in a Sunday matinee. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Tampa Bay (receiving -170 odds) is a pretty solid favorite against Boston and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s runline odds stand at -135 for picking the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rays -1.5.
The Rays are 92-63 straight up (SU) and 79-75 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, gaining 0.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 6.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox are 80-74 SU and have gone 63-90 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 26.3 units for moneyline bettors and 35.7 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Rays games have a 75-71-8 over/under record in 2019. Boston has been a solid over bet with a total record of 85-65-3.
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is the probable starter for the visiting Red Sox. Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 6.19 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 16.20 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.
The Rays are handing the ball to lefty Ryan Yarbrough (11-4, 3.78 ERA), who has 112 strikeouts and 17 walks, along with a WHIP of 0.94. Yarbrough is 2-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 4.80 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 69 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 3.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .231/.299/.371 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows have led the Rays’ batters this year. Pham is hitting .276/.373/.453 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs, 75 runs and 23 steals, while the line for Meadows stands at .288/.360/.562 with 32 homers, 88 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.87 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.57 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .268/.341/.467 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Boston’s offensive production has been sparked by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who collectively have blasted 63 home runs. Devers is hitting .307/.358/.553 with 31 home runs, 112 RBIs and 121 runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .305/.380/.553 with 32 homers, 110 RBIs and 105 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 15.2 units and are 17-32 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 5.9 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, as opposed to 43 which went under the total.
Red Sox at Rays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
- The Red Sox have a team OPS of .808 this season and an OPS of .785 against left-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS sits at .759 overall and .754 against southpaws.
- The Red Sox have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Boston has posted 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
