The Milwaukee Brewers are seeking their fourth win in a row as they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on either ATPT or FSWI.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Pittsburgh (receiving +230) is coming into this one as the underdog against Milwaukee (-255) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds stand at +105 for betting the Pirates +1.5 runs and -125 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 85-70 straight up (SU) and 72-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 16.1 units ATS. On the other hand, the Pirates are 65-90 SU and have gone 73-81 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 14.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 24.9 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have a 66-83-5 over/under record in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a great over bet with a total record of 88-58-8.
Trevor Williams is getting the nod for the Bucs. The right-handed Williams is 7-7 with a 5.66 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Brandon Woodruff (11-3, 3.69 ERA), who has 140 strikeouts and 30 walks this season as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Woodruff is 2-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 5.09 ERA across three starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 72 games against divisional opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.85.
Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .224/.330/.408 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by Christian Yelich, who is slashing .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.50 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.01, along with a WHIP of 1.45.
Pirates hitters have slashed .266/.325/.424 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Starling Marte has led Pittsburgh’s hitters. Marte is hitting .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 stolen bases.
The Brewers took the previous game in this series by a final tally of 10 runs to one.
Pirates at Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Pirates have an OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .766 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .769 overall and .765 versus righties.
- Pittsburgh has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.4 over its last five.
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games SU.
