The Cleveland Indians are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Progressive Field. This interleague matchup will be nationally televised on ESPN. The opening pitch is scheduled for 6:37 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Cleveland (-150) is hosting this one as the favorite against Philadelphia (+140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -155 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +135 for the Indians -1.5 runs.
The Indians are 91-64 straight up (SU) and 84-70 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 10.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies are 79-74 SU and have gone 73-79 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 65-85-4 in 2019. Philadelphia has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-77-4.
Vince Velasquez will get the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Velasquez (7-7, 4.89 ERA) has recorded 121 punchouts in 108.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Indians are going with righty Adam Plutko (7-4, 4.34 ERA), who has 72 punchouts and 22 walks to his credit, along with a 1.22 WHIP. Plutko did not re a start against the Phillies in 2018.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Cleveland hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .271/.342/.404 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana have led the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is hitting .291/.345/.530 with 31 home runs, 71 RBIs, 98 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Santana is hitting .284 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 107 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.42, along with a K-per-9 of 8.91.
Phillies hitters have slashed .247/.323/.429 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is hitting .284/.337/.406 with 12 home runs, 68 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Segura (.283/.327/.429) is up to 12 homers, 59 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 4.5 units and are 56-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 0.5 units and are 53-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 61 that went under the total.
Phillies vs. Indians MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Phillies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .738 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .761 overall and .761 against righties.
- Philadelphia has posted 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.2 over its last five.
