Kevin Pillar and the San Francisco Giants will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park in a Sunday showdown. NBC Sports – Bay Area will be airing this NL matchup and the game is slated to get going at 1:20 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Odds
Bookmakers have Atlanta (-210) as the favorite over San Francisco (+190). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. There’s a runline of Giants +1.5 (-115) and Braves -1.5 (-105) for this matchup.
The Braves are 96-60 straight up (SU) and 77-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 21.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.2 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, have gone 74-81 SU this year and are 77-77 ATS. In total, the club has accumulated 8.9 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 17.8 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Braves games have had an over/under record of 74-73-8 in 2019. The Giants have an over/under record of 74-71-9.
Logan Webb is getting the start for the visiting Giants. The right-handed Webb is 1-2 with a 6.51 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Braves are turning to lefty Dallas Keuchel (8-6, 3.63 ERA), who has 83 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Keuchel only made one start against the Giants in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).
San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.93 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.87, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 8.69.
The Giants offense has slashed .240/.305/.394 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
San Francisco’s offensive production has been fueled by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is slashing .266/.294/.449 with 21 home runs, 84 RBIs, 79 runs and 13 steals, while Belt has a .236 average with 17 homers, 57 RBIs and 75 runs scored.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.12 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Atlanta’s hitters have produced 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .218/.318/.410 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Albies is slashing .294/.351/.500 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 98 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Acuna Jr.’s line is .280/.366/.518 with 41 homers, 101 RBIs, 127 runs and 37 stolen bases.
The Giants have lost 1.6 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 16.3 units and are 60-61 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 59 which went under the total.
Giants at Braves MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- San Francisco has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
- The Giants have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- The Giants have a team OPS of .699 this season and an OPS of .706 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .793 overall and .789 against southpaws.
