The Arizona Diamondbacks are traveling west to square off against their NL West nemesis San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports Arizona will be airing the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Odds
Oddsmakers are listing San Diego (-115) as the favorite over Arizona (+105). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -200 for the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +170 for the Padres -1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 78-75 SU and are 85-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 11.0 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 69-84 SU and 71-81 ATS. They’ve lost 17.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.7 units ATS.
San Diego games have a 72-72-8 over/under record in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 69-72-12.
Right-hander Merrill Kelly is getting the start for Arizona. Kelly is 11-14 with a 4.49 ERA and 142 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 17 strikeouts and a 5.03 ERA against San Diego this year (four starts).
The Padres will put the ball in the left hand of Eric Lauer (8-9, 4.60 ERA, 1.41 WHIP), who has 121 strikeouts and 43 walks. Lauer is 1-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 4.24 ERA over three starts against Arizona this year.
San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.68, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 67 games against NL West foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.34 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.07.
San Diego’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .173/.254/.314 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the way for the Padres’ hitters this year. Hosmer is slashing .275/.322/.438 with 21 home runs, 96 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .253/.332/.456 with 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.22 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.45, along with a K-per-9 of 8.62.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .254/.326/.439 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Arizona’s offense has been sparked by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar, who collectively have swatted 67 home runs. Marte is slashing .329/.389/.592 with 32 home runs, 92 RBIs and 97 runs scored, while Escobar (.272/.322/.527) has produced 35 homers, 115 RBIs and 93 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have gained 5.0 units and are 22-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 11.3 units and are 54-66 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 59 of those games, compared to 54 that went under the total.
Diamondbacks at Padres Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .765 this season and an OPS of .856 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .726 overall and .770 against southpaws.
- San Diego has posted 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 12.8 over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
