The Pittsburgh Pirates will head west to take on their division rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup starts at 8:10 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on ATPT and FSWI.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (-175) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+165). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over nine runs and +100 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Pirates +1.5 runs (-135) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+115).
The Brewers are 83-70 straight up (SU) and 70-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 18.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, have gone 65-88 SU this year and are 73-79 ATS. In total, the club has lost 11.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.7 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Brewers games have a 65-82-5 over/under record in 2019. The Pirates have been a strong over bet with a total record of 86-58-8.
Left-hander Steven Brault will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. Brault is 4-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 84 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 20 strikeouts and a 2.66 ERA against Milwaukee this year (four starts).
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Chase Anderson (6-4, 4.50 ERA), who has 118 punchouts and 47 walks as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Anderson is 1-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.48 ERA across four starts against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 70 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.96.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .217/.285/.420 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is hitting .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 steals, and Cain’s line sits at .251/.316/.357 with 10 homers, 45 RBIs, 72 runs and 17 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.45 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.93, along with a K/9 of 9.94.
Pirates hitters have slashed .267/.326/.426 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 steals. Reynolds is hitting .317/.383/.510 with 16 homers, 67 RBIs and 83 runs scored.
The Pirates have lost 2.7 units and are 56-56 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 59 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.0 units and are 19-28 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve gone under.
Pirates vs. Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .771 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .767 overall and .764 against righties.
- The Brewers have won five of their last six games SU.
- Pittsburgh has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit three home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
