Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies will make a road trip to Cleveland to face the Indians at Progressive Field. NBC Sports Philadelphia will televise this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Cleveland Indians Odds
Philadelphia (+187) is hosting this one as the underdog to Cleveland (-205) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-110 for both the over and the under). There’s a runline of Phillies +1.5 (-115) and Indians -1.5 (-105) for this matchup.
The Indians are 90-63 straight up (SU) and 82-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. The Phillies are 78-73 SU and have gone 72-78 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS.
Cleveland games have a 65-83-4 over/under record in 2019. The Phillies have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-76-4.
Left-hander Drew Smyly is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Smyly (4-6, 6.22 ERA) has racked up 110 strikeouts in 105.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians will turn to righty Shane Bieber (14-7, 3.26 ERA), who’s got 245 strikeouts and 39 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.03. Bieber hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not register a start against them in 2018.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 8.89.
The Phillies offense has slashed .247/.324/.428 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .285/.339/.409 with 12 home runs, 67 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Segura (.283/.328/.428) has produced 12 homers, 59 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.62 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
Cleveland’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .297/.366/.465 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and first baseman Carlos Santana. Lindor is slashing .292/.343/.533 with 31 home runs, 70 RBIs, 95 runs and 21 steals, and Santana’s line is .282/.398/.526 with 34 homers, 91 RBIs and 106 runs scored.
Phillies at Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Philadelphia has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cleveland has 18 XBH over its last five.
- Philadelphia fielders have seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to only two errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
- The Phillies have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 13 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .739 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .763 overall and .764 versus righties.
