Amed Rosario and the New York Mets are making a road trip to Great American Ball Park to face the Cincinnati Reds. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be airing this NL matchup.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
New York (-145) is favored over Cincinnati (+135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). There’s a runline of Mets -1.5 (+100) and Reds +1.5 (-120) for this matchup.
The Mets have gone 79-73 SU this year and are 79-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 72-81 SU and 82-71 ATS. They’ve lost 7.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have a 57-88-8 over/under record in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-64-12.
Jacob deGrom will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom is 9-8 with a 2.61 ERA and 239 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are turning to righty Luis Castillo (15-6, 3.22 ERA), who has 211 strikeouts and 72 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Castillo is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.13, along with a K-per-9 of 9.55.
The Mets offense has slashed .258/.330/.441 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is slashing .287/.324/.427 with 13 home runs, 64 RBIs, 71 runs and 17 steals, while McNeil (.318/.388/.531) has produced 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .199/.291/.311 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is slashing .272/.354/.581 with 48 home runs, 102 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .288/.315/.411 with 11 homers, 54 RBIs and 59 runs.
The Mets have lost 0.3 units and are 58-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 59 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.8 units and are 62-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 66 that went under the total.
Mets vs. Reds MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in only two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
- New York has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Mets have a total OPS of .771 this season and an OPS of .762 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .741 overall and .732 against righties.
