The Tennessee Titans (-2.5) are heading south to face the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field. Kickoff for this AFC South game is set for 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to NFL Network.
Thursday NightBetting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville enters this AFC matchup as the underdog and is currently getting 2.5 points. The Titans are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are +120. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it would generate a reasonable live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 41 points.
The Titans have gained 1.8 units so far and are 1-0 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-0.
The Jaguars have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 0-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-0.
The Titans are 1-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC South opponents. The Jaguars are 0-2 SU overall and also 0-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Titans fell to Indianapolis 19-17 in a Week 2 nailbiter where Marcus Mariota completed 19-of-28 passes for just 154 yards and one touchdown. Derrick Henry (81 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Delanie Walker (four receptions, 39 yards) and Corey Davis (three catches, 38 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Jacksonville narrowly suffered a 13-12 defeat to Houston a week ago. The team’s defense let the Texans run for 126 yards on 30 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Carlos Hyde had a productive outing in the win for Houston, recording 90 rushing yards on 20 attempts. For Jacksonville, Gardner Minshew II completed 23-of-33 passes for 213 yards and one touchdown. Leonard Fournette (47 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and the signal-caller Minshew II (56 yards on six carries) led the running game as DJ Chark Jr. (seven receptions, 55 yards, one TD) and Chris Conley (four catches, 73 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Tennessee has run the ball on 50 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Jacksonville has an overall rush percentage of 35.9 percent. The Titans have produced 123 rush yards/game (including 123 per game against South opponents) and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jags are putting up 92 rush yards per game (103 in conference) and have yet to record a rushing TD.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Jags should hold an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness, since their backfield has generated 5.0 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 4.3 to opponents. The Titans have recorded 4.7 yards per carry while allowing 5.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Titans offense has tallied 201 yards per game through the air overall (154 per game against conference opposition) and has four passing TDs so far. The Jags have put up 281.5 pass yards per game (213 against AFC foes) and also have four total pass score.
Tennessee should have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 134.5 yards and throw for 215.5 yards per game. The Jacksonville D has allowed 268.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Titans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.58 to opponents, while the Jags have allowed a staggering 8.58 ANY/A.
Minshew II has connected on 23-of-33 passes for 213 yards, one TD and zero INTs for Jacksonville. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 5.35 for the year and 7.38 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Mariota is up to 154 passing yards this year. He’s completed 19-of-28 attempts with one passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Mariota has a 4.34 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 6.92 over the last two outings.
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Free NFL Pick
SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Titans, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Tennessee defense has twice as many sacks as Jacksonville this year (eight versus four).
- Jacksonville has lost two fumbles this season while Tennessee has yet to let any get away.
- The Titans offense has registered three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jaguars have accounted for one such play.
- The Tennessee defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Jacksonville has given up four such plays.
- Both defenses have produced zero rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Tennessee offense has recorded eight running plays of 10+ yards while Jacksonville has accounted for six such plays.
- Both teams have allowed one rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Titans have given up seven running plays of 10+ yards while the Jaguars have given up five such plays.
