The streaking Milwaukee Brewers are seeking their fifth consecutive victory when they play host to the San Diego Padres at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game is slated to get going at 7:40 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
San Diego (+125) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Padres are 68-83 SU and have gone 70-80 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 18.0 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 82-69 SU and 69-81 ATS. They’ve gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 18.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 65-80-5 in 2019. Padres games have gone over 72 times, gone under 70 times and pushed on eight occasions.
Dinelson Lamet will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Lamet (2-5, 4.06 ERA) has racked up 81 strikeouts in 62 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers are turning to righty Adrian Houser (6-6, 3.84 ERA), who’s got 104 punchouts and 36 walks, in addition to a 1.32 WHIP. Houser is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .210/.287/.395 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is slashing .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 steals, while Cain is hitting .251 with nine homers, 44 RBIs, 71 runs and 17 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.69 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.57 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.60, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
Padres hitters have slashed .240/.312/.416 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .275/.323/.434 with 20 home runs, 95 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Machado (.255/.334/.460) is up to 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 11.7 units and are 53-65 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 59 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 5.6 units and are 50-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 51 that went under.
Padres vs. Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Padres have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
- The Padres have an OPS of .728 this season and an OPS of .711 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .769 overall and .769 against righties.
- San Diego has posted 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.
- The Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 games SU.
