The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at SunTrust Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be airing the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
Philadelphia (+140) is coming into this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -155 for picking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +135 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 93-59 straight up (SU) and 76-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 23.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies are 77-72 SU and have gone 70-78 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.2 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 73-70-8 in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 70-74-4.
Zach Eflin is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Eflin is 8-12 with a 4.20 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He’s 0-3 with nine strikeouts and an 11.57 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).
The Braves will turn to righty Julio Teheran (10-9, 3.50 ERA), who’s got 155 strikeouts and 80 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.31. Teheran is 0-2 with eight strikeouts and an 8.00 ERA over two starts against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 71 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.20.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .259/.345/.437 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Albies is slashing .294/.351/.503 with 23 home runs, 81 RBIs, 98 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Freeman is batting .301 with 38 homers, 117 RBIs and 112 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.56 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.51, along with a K/9 of 8.86.
Phillies hitters have slashed .247/.324/.429 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .282/.337/.403 with 11 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Segura (.281/.325/.426) is up to 12 homers, 57 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 5.1 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 17.7 units and are 59-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 56 of those games, as opposed to 56 which went under the total.
Phillies at Braves Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- The Phillies have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .753 this season and an OPS of .740 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .796 overall and .797 against righties.
- Atlanta has recorded 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
