Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

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The Seattle Mariners are traveling east to PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and this interleague showdown will be televised on either ATPT or RTNW.

Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Seattle (+115) is the underdog against Pittsburgh (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds sit at -180 for betting the Mariners +1.5 runs and +160 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.

The Mariners are 62-88 SU and are 74-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.4 units for moneyline bettors and 12.0 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 65-85 SU and 73-77 ATS. The team’s lost 9.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.7 units ATS.

Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 86-56-8 in 2019. The Mariners have also been a strong over bet with a total record of 83-56-11.

Marco Gonzales will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. The left-handed Gonzales (15-11, 4.30 ERA) has recorded 135 punchouts in 182 innings so far. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Pirates will turn to righty Mitch Keller (1-4, 8.29 ERA), who has 51 strikeouts and 12 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.87. Keller did not appear in the majors in 2018.

Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 5.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.46 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

Pittsburgh’s hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .289/.333/.428 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Bryan Reynolds. Marte is slashing .295/.342/.503 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 97 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Reynolds has put up a line of .322/.385/.517 with 16 homers, 67 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.33 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.08, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K/9 of 8.79.

Mariners hitters have slashed .240/.321/.433 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Mallex Smith and Domingo Santana have led Seattle’s hitters. The speedy Smith is slashing .235/.308/.348 with six home runs, 37 RBIs, 68 runs and 44 stolen bases, while Santana (.256/.332/.449) is up to 21 homers, 69 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

Mariners vs. Pirates Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Seattle has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Pittsburgh has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mariners have a total OPS of .754 this season and an OPS of .745 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS stands at .755 overall and .773 against righties.
  • Pittsburgh has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit three over their last 10.